TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Yokohama F·Marinos vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba
Volume:
$104,344
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Japan J1 League soccer match between Yokohama F·Marinos and JEF United Ichihara Chiba scheduled for March 14, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket assess the outcome (win/loss/draw) based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket's draw market includes an explicit cancellation clause (resolves YES if game canceled with no make-up), while Kalshi's three mutually-exclusive outcome structure does not address cancellation. This creates different payoff profiles for draw traders across platforms in a cancellation scenario.Hero Tip:
Polymarket draw traders are hedged against cancellation risk (YES pays if canceled). Kalshi traders should clarify whether a cancellation would void all three markets or trigger a specific resolution. Avoid cross-platform arbitrage on draw outcomes until cancellation protocol is unified.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Marinos win (YES if Marinos wins, NO otherwise), United Chiba win (YES if United Chiba wins, NO otherwise), and Draw (YES if draw, NO otherwise). Draw market explicitly resolves YES if game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes.'
- Kalshi: Three mutually-exclusive outcomes presented as a single event: Marinos win resolves YES, Tie resolves YES, United Chiba win resolves YES. No explicit cancellation clause provided. Assumes game will be played; cancellation handling is undefined. Key Quote: 'If United Chiba wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Marinos wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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