TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 14, 8:14 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of runs scored by both teams in an upcoming college baseball game. The outcome depends on whether the combined runs exceed specific thresholds. Higher thresholds offer more selective resolution criteria.
The event evaluates multiple run-total thresholds for a single college baseball game between Yokohama DeNA BayStars and Tokyo Yakult Swallows scheduled for August 14, 2026. Each threshold—over 5.5, 7.5, 9.5, and 11.5 runs—defines a separate market that resolves to 'Yes' if the combined score of both teams exceeds that level. All markets share the same underlying game and timestamp, ensuring consistency across thresholds. The governing rules clarify that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners. Resolution hinges solely on the actual game result, with no adjustments for external factors or interpretations.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders manually set bids and asks, creating a dynamic order book that determines the current implied probability. The top outcome’s chance reflects aggregated user expectations, with volume of $13,649 showing overall interest. Liquidity can fluctuate sharply ahead of key events, influencing how quickly prices adjust to new information.
This market resolves around Aug 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total runs scored by both teams will be compared against the market’s over/under threshold, and the result will be finalized shortly after the game concludes.
Key performances from star players, pitching rotations, and late-game strategies could shift this market as Aug 14, 2026 approaches. Injuries or weather delays may also impact expected run totals. Traders will watch recent head-to-head matchups and bullpen usage closely, as these factors often alter game dynamics. Any surprise lineup changes could cause rapid shifts in this market’s probability before it resolves.