TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 16, 8:10 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a baseball game between two professional teams, focusing on the margin of victory. It reflects how observers might evaluate the performance gap between competing teams in a scheduled match. The result depends entirely on the final score of the game as it unfolds between the two participants.
The event covers four possible outcomes for the Yokohama DeNA BayStars vs Tokyo Yakult Swallows game scheduled for August 16, 2026, each defined by the winning team and the margin of victory. If the Tokyo Yakult Swallows win by more than 2.5 runs, the first market resolves to Yes. If they win by more than 1.5 runs but not by more than 2.5 runs, the second market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if the Yokohama DeNA BayStars win by more than 2.5 runs, the fourth market resolves to Yes, and if they win by more than 1.5 runs but not by more than 2.5 runs, the third market resolves to Yes. Only one of these markets can resolve to Yes, depending on the exact run differential at the end of the game. All markets share the same secondary disclaimer stating that Kalshi is not affiliated with the Governing League and that all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set the price through continuous bidding and asking, with the current top outcome reflecting the most likely spread result based on available data and recent performance trends. The market’s liquidity, measured by a volume of $4,935, helps determine how responsive prices are to new shifts in expectation.
This market resolves around Aug 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point-spread result will be calculated based on official game statistics, and the market will settle accordingly at that time.
Injuries to key players, changes in pitching rotations, weather conditions affecting game dynamics, and recent head-to-head performance are all signals that could shift this market. Additionally, any significant performance trends or coaching strategies revealed in the days leading up to the game may also cause traders to adjust their positions.