TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 14, 8:15 AM EST
Kalshi
The Yokohama DeNA BayStars play against the Tokyo Yakult Swallows in a Japan NPB game, with the first inning being a key moment for either side to establish an early lead. The opening frames often dictate early game dynamics.
If either team scores a run in the first inning of the Yokohama DeNA BayStars vs Tokyo Yakult Swallows professional Japan NPB baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 14, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders collectively set the price based on their expectations for an early lead. The current top outcome reflects the aggregate view of participants, with liquidity indicated by volume of $1,678. Prices adjust dynamically as new information emerges, such as lineup changes or weather updates affecting the starters.
This market resolves around Aug 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result depends solely on whether either team scores in the first inning of the game, a fact that becomes official once the match concludes and box scores are published.
Key signals include last-minute pitching changes, weather delays affecting starters, and pre-game injury announcements. Any development that shifts the perceived likelihood of an early run — such as a star hitter being benched or a known strong starter taking the mound — can cause rapid price swings in this market as traders react.