TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 25, 8:44 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of runs scored by both teams in an upcoming college baseball game between Yokohama DeNA BayStars and Hiroshima Toyo Carp. The outcome depends on whether the combined runs exceed specific thresholds, offering different levels of scoring intensity for evaluation.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for the total runs scored in the Yokohama DeNA BayStars vs. Hiroshima Toyo Carp college baseball game scheduled for August 25, 2026, at 5:00 AM EDT. Each threshold—over 5.5, 7.5, 9.5, and 11.5 runs—represents a distinct market that resolves to 'Yes' if the combined score of both teams exceeds the respective threshold. The markets are independent, meaning each threshold is assessed separately, and each has its own resolution criteria based solely on the total runs scored during the game. Kalshi explicitly states it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, traders in the Yokohama-Hiroshima run total market price in using their own expectations of total runs, which can differ from sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on historical data and expert analysis, often adjusting for public betting patterns. Prediction markets, however, reflect the collective wisdom of participants who may react to new information faster. This can lead to divergence between the two, especially as the game approaches. For this market, differences might arise from real-time player performance or weather conditions that affect scoring potential.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous trading where participants submit bids and asks based on their outlook for total runs. The current top outcome reflects the aggregate of all trader activity, showing the likelihood of each possible run total as seen by the market. Volume of $8,443 and 24-hour volume of $8,368 indicate trader interest. Price movements can be sharp ahead of the match or after key plays that shift expectations for scoring.
This market resolves around Aug 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the game will be used to determine which run total range occurred, and the market will close accordingly based on that official result.
Several factors could shift expectations in this market before Aug 25, 2026. Injuries to key batters or pitchers, weather changes affecting game conditions, and strategic decisions by managers all influence run-scoring potential. Early-game performance — such as a high-scoring first inning — can cause rapid adjustments in trader sentiment. Additionally, any last-minute lineup changes or umpire decisions impacting scoring opportunities may move this market significantly as the match progresses toward its conclusion.