TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Sports
Yokohama DeNA BayStars vs Hiroshima Toyo Carp: Spread
kalshi

Yokohama DeNA BayStars vs Hiroshima Toyo Carp: Spread

Volume:
$2,199

Hiroshima Toyo Carp wins by over 2.5 runs

 - Kalshi

Hiroshima Toyo Carp wins by over 2.5 runs - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 25, 2026

Closed: Aug 25, 8:44 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Hiroshima Toyo Carp wins by over 2.5 runs

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$726
N/A
N/A
$719
Settled
No
kalshi

Hiroshima Toyo Carp wins by over 1.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$672
N/A
N/A
$648
Settled
No
kalshi

Yokohama DeNA BayStars wins by over 2.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$626
N/A
N/A
$597
Settled
No
kalshi

Yokohama DeNA BayStars wins by over 1.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$176
N/A
N/A
$122
Settled
No
Total markets: 4

Description

This set of markets tracks the margin of victory in an upcoming baseball game between two professional teams. Each market corresponds to a specific run differential threshold that determines the outcome. The resolution depends entirely on the final score of the game as it concludes under official conditions.

Kalshi

These markets resolve based on the run differential by which either team wins the specified Japan NPB baseball match originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT. A 'Yes' outcome occurs when the winning team exceeds the stated run margin: over 2.5 runs for Hiroshima Toyo Carp victories (Rules 1 and 2) or Yokohama DeNA BayStars victories (Rules 3 and 4), and over 1.5 runs for narrower Hiroshima Toyo Carp victories (Rule 2) or Yokohama DeNA BayStars victories (Rule 3). All markets share the same underlying event—the final, officially recorded result of the game—and resolve solely according to the numerical difference between the two teams' scores, without regard to other factors such as extra innings, protests, or subsequent revisions to the official record. Kalsci explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds in this market often reflect a more nuanced outlook than traditional sportsbook lines, incorporating real-time trader sentiment and sharp analysis. While sportsbooks set their lines based on a mix of public betting and expert adjustment, prediction markets let participants bet directly on their expectations, which can lead to tighter spreads or bigger divergences depending on recent performance and news.

This market resolves around Aug 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread from the game will determine which side wins, and the market will close based on official results reported after the match concludes.

Injuries, pitching changes, and recent performance trends can all shift this market. Key starters taking the mound, weather conditions affecting gameplay, and late-breaking news about player availability often drive rapid price swings as traders reassess the likely spread. Any surprise roster moves or bullpen updates could also cause volatility in the days leading up to the game.