TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 25, 8:44 AM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the margin of victory in an upcoming baseball game between two professional teams. Each market corresponds to a specific run differential threshold that determines the outcome. The resolution depends entirely on the final score of the game as it concludes under official conditions.
These markets resolve based on the run differential by which either team wins the specified Japan NPB baseball match originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT. A 'Yes' outcome occurs when the winning team exceeds the stated run margin: over 2.5 runs for Hiroshima Toyo Carp victories (Rules 1 and 2) or Yokohama DeNA BayStars victories (Rules 3 and 4), and over 1.5 runs for narrower Hiroshima Toyo Carp victories (Rule 2) or Yokohama DeNA BayStars victories (Rule 3). All markets share the same underlying event—the final, officially recorded result of the game—and resolve solely according to the numerical difference between the two teams' scores, without regard to other factors such as extra innings, protests, or subsequent revisions to the official record. Kalsci explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
This market resolves around Aug 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread from the game will determine which side wins, and the market will close based on official results reported after the match concludes.
Injuries, pitching changes, and recent performance trends can all shift this market. Key starters taking the mound, weather conditions affecting gameplay, and late-breaking news about player availability often drive rapid price swings as traders reassess the likely spread. Any surprise roster moves or bullpen updates could also cause volatility in the days leading up to the game.