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Yokohama DeNA BayStars vs Hanshin Tigers: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Yokohama DeNA BayStars vs Hanshin Tigers?

Volume:
$22,773

Yokohama DeNA BayStars wins by over 1.5 runs

 - Kalshi

Yokohama DeNA BayStars wins by over 1.5 runs - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 6, 2026

Closed: Sep 6, 8:34 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Yokohama DeNA BayStars wins by over 1.5 runs

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,619
N/A
N/A
$9,130
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Yokohama DeNA BayStars wins by over 2.5 runs

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,414
N/A
N/A
$2,994
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hanshin Tigers wins by over 1.5 runs

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,332
N/A
N/A
$8,119
Settled
No
kalshi

Hanshin Tigers wins by over 2.5 runs

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,409
N/A
N/A
$1,409
Settled
No
Total markets: 4

Description

This set of markets tracks the margin of victory in an upcoming baseball game between two professional teams. Each market corresponds to a specific run differential threshold that determines the outcome. The resolution depends entirely on the final score of the game as it reflects which, if any, of these thresholds are met.

Kalshi

These markets resolve based on the run differential by which either the Hanshin Tigers or Yokohama DeNA BayStars win the specified game scheduled for September 6, 2026. The first market resolves to Yes if the Tigers win by more than 2.5 runs, the second if they win by more than 1.5 runs, the third if the BayStars win by more than 1.5 runs, and the fourth if they win by more than 2.5 runs. If none of these conditions are satisfied—for example, if the game ends in a tie, one team wins by exactly 1, 2, or 2.5 runs, or the other team wins—the markets resolve to No. All markets are independent and resolve solely based on the final score, with no adjustments for cancellations, delays, or other disruptions unless explicitly stated in additional rules not provided here.

Frequently asked questions

Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a ‘vig’ or commission into their odds, while Kalshi allows traders to directly assess the probability of an outcome. This can lead to differences, especially as new information emerges and traders update their views. It’s common to see prediction markets reflect the ‘wisdom of the crowd’ more accurately than initial sportsbook lines, though discrepancies can occur due to differing market participants and information access. Comparing the two can offer a more comprehensive view of potential outcomes.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the Hanshin Tigers will win by over 1.5 runs. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the collective expectation. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new data and insights.

This market resolves around Sep 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Yokohama DeNA BayStars versus Hanshin Tigers game, specifically the final run differential. The platform will verify the result against established sports data sources to determine whether the Hanshin Tigers won by over 1.5 runs, triggering payout for those who predicted that outcome in this market.

Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Yokohama DeNA BayStars or the Hanshin Tigers would likely cause significant movement. Changes in pitching rotations, weather forecasts affecting the game, or even significant shifts in public sentiment based on analyst predictions could all impact the price. Unexpected performance in preceding games, or even pre-game reports on team morale, could also drive trading volume and alter the perceived probability of the Hanshin Tigers winning by over 1.5 runs.