TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 20, 8:24 AM EST
Kalshi
A Japan NPB regular season baseball game between the Yokohama DeNA BayStars and Hanshin Tigers scheduled for July 20, 2026. The outcome will be determined by which team wins the matchup.
Resolution is based on the final result of the game scheduled for July 20, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, markets remain open until the rescheduled game concludes, provided the reschedule occurs within two days. Games cancelled or rescheduled beyond two days resolve to a fair price. Tied games resolve to 50/50.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders who have real money at stake. This market may show different implied probabilities than traditional sportsbooks, especially as new information emerges or as one venue attracts more volume than the other. Comparing the two can reveal where smart money is positioning itself.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-book trading, where buyers and sellers submit bids and offers that determine the real-time odds. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price you see reflects the most recent trades and pending orders, updating instantly as new information or sentiment shifts the market. Traders can enter or exit positions at any time before the market closes, and the final price at settlement represents the collective forecast of all participants.
This market resolves around Jul 20, 2026, once the game concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome will be confirmed based on the official final score and result of the matchup. Until that point, prices may fluctuate as traders react to team news, injury reports, and other developments that could influence the game's outcome.
Key catalysts for this market include roster changes, injury announcements, recent team performance trends, and head-to-head historical matchups. Weather conditions on game day, lineup adjustments, and any late-breaking news about player availability can shift trader sentiment significantly. Additionally, as the game approaches, updated betting action from sportsbooks and shifts in public perception may prompt repricing. Monitoring team news and sports media coverage will help you anticipate potential moves.