TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 26, 3:35 AM EST
Kalshi
In this matchup, we're looking at whether either the Yokohama DeNA BayStars or the Chunichi Dragons will manage to score during the very first inning of their scheduled game. The outcome hinges purely on early-game offensive success.
If either team scores a run in the first inning of the Yokohama DeNA BayStars vs Chunichi Dragons professional Japan NPB baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 26, 2026 at 12:30 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders manually set the odds for this market through buying and selling contracts, which determines the current implied probability for each outcome. The platform’s pricing mechanism reflects the collective wisdom of participants, updating continuously as new bets are placed. This decentralized approach allows for rapid adjustments based on emerging news, lineup changes, or shifting investor sentiment leading up to the first pitch.
This market resolves around Jul 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by whether either team scores a run in the first inning of the game, as recorded by official scorekeepers and reported through trusted sports news outlets. Once the game concludes, the market settles automatically based on these verified results.
Several signals could shift odds in this market before it resolves. Key starting lineup announcements, especially regarding starting pitchers or key hitters, will heavily influence trader expectations. Weather updates affecting game conditions, such as wind direction or temperature, may also impact early scoring chances. Additionally, any last-minute roster changes, injury reports, or strategic comments from managers can cause rapid movements in the market as traders reassess the likelihood of a first-inning run.