TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 25, 4:25 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the Yokohama DeNA BayStars or Chunichi Dragons score at least one run during the opening inning of their NPB matchup on July 25, 2026. Early offensive production in baseball can set the tone for the entire game.
If either team scores a run in the first inning of the Yokohama DeNA BayStars vs Chunichi Dragons professional Japan NPB baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 25, 2026 at 1:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, traders in the first inning run market set odds based on their expectations for early-game scoring dynamics between the Yokohama DeNA BayStars and Chunichi Dragons. These prediction market probabilities often differ from traditional sportsbook lines, which incorporate broader factors like team performance metrics and historical trends. The contrast reflects how decentralized trader sentiment can diverge from institutional sportsbook models, sometimes highlighting sharper or more nuanced outlooks on short-term in-game events.
This market resolves around Jul 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by whether either team scores a run in the first inning of the game, and the market will settle accordingly based on official game records.
Key developments like starting pitcher announcements, weather updates affecting game conditions, or recent batting performance trends may shift expectations in this market. Injuries to key hitters or changes in managerial strategies could also influence trader sentiment. As the game approaches, any last-minute roster adjustments or stadium-specific factors may create volatility, reshaping the odds on Kalshi closer to first pitch.