TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 11, 8:54 AM EST
Kalshi
This event group covers the outcome of a single NPB (Nippon Professional Baseball) game between the Yokohama BayStars and Yomiuri Giants scheduled for July 11, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking whether the BayStars or Giants will win this matchup.
In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for July 11 at 5:00AM ET: If the Yokohama BayStars win, the market will resolve to "Yokohama BayStars". If the Yomiuri Giants win, the market will resolve to "Yomiuri Giants". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
This event covers a Japan NPB game scheduled for July 11, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT between the Yomiuri Giants and Yokohama DeNA BayStars. Each team has a corresponding market that resolves to Yes if that team wins the game. If the game is postponed or delayed, markets remain open and close after the rescheduled game concludes within two days. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled beyond two days, markets resolve to a fair price per official rules. In the event of a tie, all markets resolve to 50/50.
Prediction markets and sportsbooks price outcomes differently because they operate under distinct incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets reflect pure trader belief—no house edge. This market's odds may diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because traders on Polymarket and Kalshi incorporate real-time information and sentiment without the friction of vig. Over time, prediction market prices often converge toward actual outcomes more efficiently than static sportsbook lines.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different odds for the same event due to variations in user base, liquidity depth, and trading mechanics. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences in fee structures, available order types, and the timing of information flow across platforms also create temporary price gaps. Traders monitoring both venues may exploit these spreads, gradually pushing prices toward alignment. Tracking both platforms gives you a fuller picture of where the broader prediction market community stands on this matchup.
Key catalysts include roster changes, injury announcements affecting either team's starting lineup, recent performance streaks, and head-to-head historical trends. Weather conditions on game day and venue factors can also influence outcomes. Trading volume and sentiment shifts on Polymarket and Kalshi often spike when major news breaks, so monitoring both platforms helps you stay ahead of repricing. Late-breaking team updates or lineup confirmations typically drive the largest market moves in the final hours before kickoff.