TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Yokohama BayStars vs. Yomiuri Giants
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Yokohama BayStars vs. Yomiuri Giants?

Volume:
$305,680

Yomiuri Giants

 - Kalshi

Yomiuri Giants - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 11, 2026

Closed: Jul 11, 8:54 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Yomiuri Giants

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$183,751
N/A
N/A
$102,462
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Yokohama DeNA BayStars

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$117,932
N/A
N/A
$63,150
Settled
No
polymarket

Yokohama BayStars vs. Yomiuri Giants

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,997
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers the outcome of a single NPB (Nippon Professional Baseball) game between the Yokohama BayStars and Yomiuri Giants scheduled for July 11, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking whether the BayStars or Giants will win this matchup.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction: both a Giants win and a BayStars win are stated to resolve to Yes, which is impossible in a binary market. This makes Kalshi's market fundamentally unresolvable as written.Hero tip: Trade only on Polymarket for this event. Polymarket's binary structure (BayStars vs Giants) with explicit 50-50 tie/cancellation handling is logically sound. Kalshi's market requires immediate correction before it can be safely settled. Do not assume Kalshi will default to Polymarket logic at settlement time.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Clean binary resolution: market resolves to either Yokohama BayStars or Yomiuri Giants based on game outcome. Postponements keep market open; cancellations/ties/no make-up games resolve 50-50. Source: https://npb.jp/
  • Kalshi: Defective logic: states both Giants win and BayStars win resolve to Yes. This creates logical impossibility—a single game cannot have both teams winning simultaneously. Market structure is unresolvable as written.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for July 11 at 5:00AM ET: If the Yokohama BayStars win, the market will resolve to "Yokohama BayStars". If the Yomiuri Giants win, the market will resolve to "Yomiuri Giants". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

This event covers a Japan NPB game scheduled for July 11, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT between the Yomiuri Giants and Yokohama DeNA BayStars. Each team has a corresponding market that resolves to Yes if that team wins the game. If the game is postponed or delayed, markets remain open and close after the rescheduled game concludes within two days. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled beyond two days, markets resolve to a fair price per official rules. In the event of a tie, all markets resolve to 50/50.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market pricing for the BayStars vs. Giants matchup across Polymarket and Kalshi, two leading platforms where traders forecast the outcome. You can monitor real-time consensus odds, track volume shifts, and compare how each platform's community is pricing the event. The cross-platform view reveals whether traders on different venues agree on the likely winner, helping you spot consensus strength or identify divergences that may signal new information entering the market.

Prediction markets and sportsbooks price outcomes differently because they operate under distinct incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets reflect pure trader belief—no house edge. This market's odds may diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because traders on Polymarket and Kalshi incorporate real-time information and sentiment without the friction of vig. Over time, prediction market prices often converge toward actual outcomes more efficiently than static sportsbook lines.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different odds for the same event due to variations in user base, liquidity depth, and trading mechanics. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences in fee structures, available order types, and the timing of information flow across platforms also create temporary price gaps. Traders monitoring both venues may exploit these spreads, gradually pushing prices toward alignment. Tracking both platforms gives you a fuller picture of where the broader prediction market community stands on this matchup.

Key catalysts include roster changes, injury announcements affecting either team's starting lineup, recent performance streaks, and head-to-head historical trends. Weather conditions on game day and venue factors can also influence outcomes. Trading volume and sentiment shifts on Polymarket and Kalshi often spike when major news breaks, so monitoring both platforms helps you stay ahead of repricing. Late-breaking team updates or lineup confirmations typically drive the largest market moves in the final hours before kickoff.