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Yokohama BayStars vs. Tokyo Yakult Swallows
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Yokohama BayStars vs. Tokyo Yakult Swallows?

Volume:
$41,910

Yokohama DeNA BayStars

 - Kalshi

Yokohama DeNA BayStars - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 10, 2026

Closed: Sep 10, 8:04 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Yokohama DeNA BayStars

View
100%
25%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$21,995
N/A
N/A
$17,252
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Yokohama BayStars vs. Tokyo Yakult Swallows

View
100%
45%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$785
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tokyo Yakult Swallows

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$19,130
N/A
N/A
$12,817
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This group resolves based on the outcome of a single professional baseball game between the Yokohama BayStars and the Tokyo Yakult Swallows. The market determines which team wins the game, with a 50-50 split resolution if the game is canceled or ends in a tie.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi defines a win for either team as 'Yes', while Polymarket specifies the winning team's name as the resolution.Hero tip: Polymarket provides a clearer resolution path by directly naming the winning team. Kalshi's 'Yes' resolution is less informative but functionally equivalent.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to the winning team's name (Yokohama BayStars or Tokyo Yakult Swallows). "If the Yokohama BayStars win, the market will resolve to Yokohama BayStars. If the Tokyo Yakult Swallows win, the market will resolve to Tokyo Yakult Swallows."
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either team wins. "If Tokyo Yakult Swallows wins the market resolves to Yes. If Yokohama DeNA BayStars wins the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for September 10 at 5:00AM ET: If the Yokohama BayStars win, the market will resolve to "Yokohama BayStars". If the Tokyo Yakult Swallows win, the market will resolve to "Tokyo Yakult Swallows". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

If Tokyo Yakult Swallows wins the Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs Yokohama DeNA BayStars Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Sep 10, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Yokohama DeNA BayStars wins the Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs Yokohama DeNA BayStars Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Sep 10, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of different outcomes in the NPB championship market. Currently, Polymarket shows a strong consensus with a chance percentage of 98 for a specific outcome, while volume remains at $41,910. This allows for a cross-platform view of where traders are allocating capital. The dashboard aggregates data from both venues to provide a comprehensive overview of sentiment regarding the eventual winner of the championship. It’s designed to help you understand the collective prediction about which team will emerge victorious.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. While sportsbooks may initially have different odds, they often adjust as more information becomes available and betting action shifts. Discrepancies can arise from differing information access and the incentive structures of each venue.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading fees, and liquidity, which can all influence price discovery. Additionally, differing levels of information awareness among traders on each platform can lead to varied assessments of the likely outcome. While both platforms are tracking the same event, the composition of traders and their access to information may result in distinct probabilities being reflected in the market prices. Current volume is $41,910 across both platforms.