TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Yokohama BayStars vs. Tokyo Yakult Swallows
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Yokohama BayStars vs. Tokyo Yakult Swallows?

Volume:
$169,170

Yokohama DeNA BayStars

 - Kalshi

Yokohama DeNA BayStars - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 17, 2026

Closed: Jul 17, 8:09 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Yokohama DeNA BayStars

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$67,225
N/A
N/A
$44,164
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Yokohama BayStars vs. Tokyo Yakult Swallows

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,557
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tokyo Yakult Swallows

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$100,388
N/A
N/A
$80,387
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers a single NPB (Nippon Professional Baseball) matchup between the Yokohama BayStars and Tokyo Yakult Swallows scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT. Markets on both Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the outcome of this game.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi have fundamentally different outcome scopes. Polymarket resolves to the winning team name (or 50-50 on tie/cancellation), while Kalshi resolves to Yes for any decisive game outcome, making both win scenarios equivalent on Kalshi but distinct on Polymarket.Hero tip: These markets are structurally incompatible for hedging. Polymarket bettors are picking a team; Kalshi bettors are betting the game completes decisively. Treat them as separate events. Clarify Kalshi's tie and cancellation handling before trading, as it is not explicitly stated.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Winner-takes-all binary. Resolves to Yokohama BayStars or Tokyo Yakult Swallows based on game outcome. Ties and cancellations with no make-up resolve 50-50. Source: official NPB information or credible reporting consensus.
  • Kalshi: Yes-resolution on any decisive outcome. Both Tokyo Yakult Swallows win and Yokohama DeNA BayStars win scenarios resolve to Yes. No explicit tie or cancellation clause provided. Scope is game completion, not team selection.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for July 17 at 5:00AM ET: If the Yokohama BayStars win, the market will resolve to "Yokohama BayStars". If the Tokyo Yakult Swallows win, the market will resolve to "Tokyo Yakult Swallows". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the final result of the game originally scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game concludes within two days. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled more than two days away, the market resolves to a fair price per standard procedures. Tied games resolve to 50/50.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market pricing for the BayStars vs. Swallows matchup across Polymarket and Kalshi, allowing traders to monitor real-time odds and volume across venues. Each platform hosts its own order book, where participants buy and sell shares tied to the game outcome. The cross-platform view helps you spot pricing gaps, track consensus shifts, and compare how different trader communities are positioning ahead of the event. Volume across both venues reflects the combined liquidity available for this matchup.

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price outcomes differently. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous order-matching. Prediction market odds often reflect sharper, crowd-sourced consensus because traders risk real capital and face no house edge. However, sportsbooks may move faster on breaking news or injury reports. Comparing the two can reveal where public perception diverges from professional oddsmaking, though both should be monitored for the most complete picture.

Key catalysts include roster updates, injury announcements, recent team performance trends, and head-to-head historical matchups. Weather conditions on game day can significantly impact play, especially in baseball. Betting line movements at major sportsbooks often precede prediction market shifts, so monitoring those can provide early signals. Team momentum, pitcher matchups, and any late-breaking news about player availability will likely drive price action. Trading volume typically spikes closer to game time as uncertainty resolves and final positioning occurs.