TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 5, 10:16 AM EST
Polymarket
This event group covers two distinct betting markets related to Japanese professional baseball games. One market concerns the outcome of a Yokohama BayStars vs. Hanshin Tigers game, resolving based on the winner. The other involves a separate Hanshin Tigers vs. Tokyo Yakult Swallows game with resolution tied to run differentials.
In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for August 5 at 4:45AM ET: If the Yokohama BayStars win, the market will resolve to "Yokohama BayStars". If the Hanshin Tigers win, the market will resolve to "Hanshin Tigers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The event consists of four separate outcome markets all tied to the same baseball game between the Hanshin Tigers and Tokyo Yakult Swallows, scheduled for July 31, 2026. Each market resolves based on the exact run differential by which either team wins. Specifically, two markets resolve if the Tokyo Yakult Swallows win by more than either 1.5 or 2.5 runs, while the other two resolve if the Hanshin Tigers win by more than either 1.5 or 2.5 runs. All markets share the same underlying game and time, and all secondary disclaimers confirm that the platform is not officially affiliated with the league governing body. The outcome of each market depends solely on the final score difference, with no additional conditions or tiebreakers applied beyond the stated run margins.
Injuries, weather delays, or pitcher changes can shift expectations and move this market. Key starters’ performance updates or bullpen announcements often impact odds. As the game nears, any last-minute roster updates or venue-specific news will be watched closely by traders on Polymarket and Kalshi. Volume spikes typically follow these real-world developments, reflecting updated probabilities.