TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Yokohama BayStars vs. Hanshin Tigers
kalshi
polymarket

Yokohama BayStars vs. Hanshin Tigers

Volume:
$11,532

Yokohama BayStars vs. Hanshin Tigers

 - Polymarket

Yokohama BayStars vs. Hanshin Tigers - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 4, 2026

Closed: Aug 4, 10:33 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
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Ends in
Result
polymarket

Yokohama BayStars vs. Hanshin Tigers

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,767
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Yes

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,766
N/A
N/A
$5,476
Settled
No
Total markets: 2

Description

This event group covers two distinct NPB baseball markets for the Yokohama BayStars vs. Hanshin Tigers game scheduled for August 4 at 4:45AM ET. The Polymarket contract resolves based on the game's winner, while the Kalshi contract resolves based on whether either team scores a run in the first inning.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamental scope difference between markets - Polymarket resolves on game outcome while Kalshi resolves on first-inning scoring eventHero tip: Treat these as separate bets. A BayStars win doesn't guarantee a 'Yes' on Kalshi, and a Hanshin Tigers win doesn't guarantee a 'No' on Kalshi. Focus on first-inning pitching matchups for Kalshi, and overall team performance for Polymarket.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to Yokohama BayStars if they win the game, Hanshin Tigers if they win, 50-50 for canceled/tie games, remains open for postponements. Source: Official NPB information.
  • Kalshi: Resolves to Yes if either team scores a run in the first inning of the Aug 4 game, No otherwise. No mention of game outcome, postponement, or cancellation handling.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for August 4 at 4:45AM ET: If the Yokohama BayStars win, the market will resolve to "Yokohama BayStars". If the Hanshin Tigers win, the market will resolve to "Hanshin Tigers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

If either team scores a run in the first inning of the Hanshin Tigers vs Yokohama DeNA BayStars professional Japan NPB baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 4, 2026 at 4:45 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

Injuries, weather delays, and pitching changes can all shift this market as the game nears. Key starters’ performance, recent head-to-head stats, and even day-of-game betting trends may cause probabilities to swing. Traders watch lineup announcements and live in-game events closely, since any surprise can dramatically adjust odds on this market before it settles.