TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 28, 8:36 AM EST
Kalshi
YFT Esports and QoR compete in the second map of their Valorant match during VCL North America Stage 3 2026. The winner of this individual map will be determined by standard Valorant gameplay rules.
If YFT Esports wins map 2 in the VCL North America: Stage 3 2026: YFT Esports vs. QoR Valorant match originally scheduled for Jun 27, 2026 at 7:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If QoR wins map 2 in the VCL North America: Stage 3 2026: YFT Esports vs. QoR Valorant match originally scheduled for Jun 27, 2026 at 7:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different pricing mechanisms. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are priced by traders competing to forecast the actual outcome. Prediction markets typically incorporate a broader range of real-time information and can adjust faster to breaking news. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbook lines on the same matchup can reveal where professional bettors and casual traders disagree, potentially signaling value or consensus shifts in how the esports community views Map 2's likely winner.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts reflecting their belief in each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Contract prices range from near zero to one dollar, with the midpoint reflecting the implied probability traders assign to the result. As new information surfaces—team announcements, player performance data, or live tournament updates—traders adjust their bids and asks, moving the price in real time. This decentralized pricing process aggregates dispersed knowledge from the esports community into a single, transparent probability estimate.
This market resolves around Jun 28, 2026, once Map 2 of the YFT Esports vs. QoR match concludes and the winner is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by which team wins the map under the rules of the esports title being played. Traders should monitor official tournament broadcasts, team announcements, and verified esports news sources in the days leading up to resolution to stay informed about any scheduling changes or relevant developments that could affect the final result.
Several catalysts could shift this market significantly before resolution. Roster changes, player injuries, or surprise substitutions announced by either team would likely trigger immediate repricing. Recent tournament results, scrim outcomes, or public statements from coaches and players about map strategy can sway trader sentiment. Patch updates to the game itself may favor one team's playstyle over the other. Additionally, live match momentum during earlier maps in the series, team morale indicators, and betting-market activity on related markets can all influence how traders reassess the probability of this specific map outcome.