TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 15, 2:26 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Yeovil Town FC and Carlisle United FC, scheduled for August 15, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Yeovil Town FC" if Yeovil Town FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Carlisle United FC" if Carlisle United FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between Yeovil Town FC and Carlisle United FC, scheduled for August 15, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Yeovil Town FC" if Yeovil Town FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Carlisle United FC" if Carlisle United FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
On Polymarket, the current probability for the Yeovil vs Carlisle first goal market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbook odds often factor in house margins and broader public betting trends, which can create differences in implied probabilities. Prediction markets such as this one typically move more quickly in response to sharp money and real-time analysis. Traders watch for lineup changes, weather updates, and recent form, all of which can shift expectations for who will score first. The gap between Polymarket prices and sportsbook odds offers insight into where algorithmic and human bettors diverge in their views.
This market resolves around Aug 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result depends entirely on which team scores the first goal during the match, with no extra time or disputes affecting the verification. Once the match concludes and official reports are published, the platform will finalize the market based on that definitive information. Traders should ensure they monitor reliable sports news sources for immediate updates once the game starts.
Key signals that could shift this market include last-minute lineup announcements, weather conditions affecting playing styles, and early match momentum. Injuries to top scorers or tactical decisions by managers may also influence expectations for who will find the net first. Bets placed just before kickoff often react strongly to pre-game analysis from commentators and fan polls. Additionally, any unexpected delays or substitutions during the match can cause rapid price adjustments on Polymarket as traders reassess the likely outcome.