TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 18, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
The event involves a competitive match in a professional esports league, where two teams will face off in a best-of-series format. The outcome depends on the total number of maps played during the match, determining whether the contest extends beyond a predetermined length. This competition is part of a larger tournament structure, showcasing high-level strategy and skill from participating teams.
If over 2.5 maps are played in the European Pro League 2026: Yellow Submarine vs. Spirit Academy Dota 2 match originally scheduled for Sep 18, 2026 at 8:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on team rankings and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing or overvaluing a particular outcome, the price on Kalshi will adjust accordingly. It is common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts regarding the Yellow Submarine and Spirit Academy matchup.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on their analysis of the teams, recent performance, and any relevant news. This dynamic process results in a market price that represents the collective prediction of all traders on Kalshi regarding the total number of maps played.
This market resolves around Sep 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Yellow Submarine versus Spirit Academy Dota 2 match, specifically the total number of maps played to determine a winner. The official game results will be used to determine whether the market settles on the 'over' or 'under' side of the specified map count. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts adjusted based on the final outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or potential roster changes for either Yellow Submarine or Spirit Academy could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also have an impact. Furthermore, significant bets placed by informed traders or large volume spikes on Kalshi could indicate new information or a change in market expectations. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to Sep 18, 2026.