TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 22, 4:43 AM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if Lamine Yamal is listed in Spain's starting XI for the Spain vs Saudi Arabia FIFA World Cup match scheduled for June 21, 2026, 16:00 UTC, as recorded in the Lineup section of the official FIFA.com match report for this specific game. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is not played and completed with an official result by August 21, 2026, 12:00 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO." If the data on the website is unavailable for 72 hours after the match is completed, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
This market will resolve to "YES" if Lamine Yamal is listed in Spain's starting XI for the Spain vs Saudi Arabia FIFA World Cup match scheduled for June 21, 2026, 16:00 UTC, as recorded in the Lineup section of the official FIFA.com match report for this specific game. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is not played and completed with an official result by August 21, 2026, 12:00 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO." If the data on the website is unavailable for 72 hours after the match is completed, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market may show higher or lower implied probability than traditional sportsbooks, depending on whether professional traders or casual bettors dominate activity. Comparing the two can reveal where smart money disagrees with bookmaker consensus on Yamal's starting chances.
On Limitless, this market is priced through continuous order-book matching, where traders buy and sell shares reflecting their belief in the outcome. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome fluctuates based on supply and demand, with the current market probability visible as a percentage. Traders can place limit or market orders to enter or exit positions. As new information emerges—team news, injury reports, or lineup hints—the price adjusts to reflect updated expectations about whether Yamal will start.
This market resolves around Jun 22, 2026, once the match between Russia and Saudi Arabia concludes and the starting lineup is officially confirmed. The outcome will be verified against credible public sources, including official team announcements and match reports. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome receive their payout once resolution is finalized. Early confirmation of lineups—often released hours before kickoff—may accelerate resolution timing.
Several catalysts could shift odds significantly before Jun 22, 2026. Injury announcements or fitness updates involving Yamal or key teammates would reshape expectations immediately. Official team news, coaching statements, or leaked lineup hints carry substantial weight. Tactical shifts or formation changes by Russia's manager could alter starting roles. Pre-match press conferences and training-ground observations often trigger repricing. Close to kickoff, confirmed lineups from reliable sources typically lock in final market consensus. Monitor Russian football media and official federation channels for the most impactful signals.