TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 29, 8:19 AM EST
Kalshi
This market resolves based on the overall method of finish for the fight, regardless of which fighter achieves it. It includes knockout, technical knockout, disqualification, submission, decision, or a draw/no contest outcome for the entire match.
The market resolves to Yes if the fight ends by KO/TKO/DQ, Submission, Decision, or Draw/No Contest. Any of these outcomes for either fighter will settle the market. The fight must be the one originally scheduled for Aug 29, 2026.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the price for each possible finish method based on their expectations and available information. The current top outcome reflects the aggregate bets placed, with chances displayed as implied probabilities. These prices adjust dynamically with new trading activity, news about the fighters, and shifting analyst opinions. The market’s pricing mechanism allows participants to hedge or speculate on specific outcomes unique to this contest.
This market resolves around Aug 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official result — based on how Yan and Gomes’ bout concludes — will determine the paying outcome. All participants will see the market settle automatically once the fight’s final result is publicly confirmed and matches the market’s listed finish types.
Several signals could shift this market before it settles. Key factors include pre-fight media events, training updates, injury reports, and changes in betting momentum. Any announcement about fight strategy, weight class adjustments, or unexpected developments surrounding either fighter can cause rapid price swings. Additionally, broader trends in combat sports betting and last-minute odds shifts from major sportsbooks may also influence trader behavior and market movement.