TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Xavier Musketeers vs. Marquette Golden Eagles
kalshi
polymarket

Xavier Musketeers vs. Marquette Golden Eagles

Volume:
$2,625,116

Xavier

 - Kalshi

Xavier - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 12, 2026

Closed: Mar 11, 9:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Xavier

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,241,209
N/A
N/A
$710,672
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Xavier Musketeers vs. Marquette Golden Eagles

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$172,986
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Marquette

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,195,226
N/A
N/A
$676,779
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 154.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,976
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 157.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$516
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 156.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$464
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,121
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -4.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,617
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 8

Description

This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Xavier Musketeers and Marquette Golden Eagles scheduled for March 11, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), point spread (-3.5 and -4.5), and total points over/under (154.5, 156.5, 157.5).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both Xavier win and Marquette win resolve to Yes, making settlement impossible. Polymarket's moneyline and all spread/total markets across both platforms are internally consistent.Hero tip: Avoid the Kalshi moneyline market until the specification is corrected. Trade with confidence on Polymarket's moneyline and all spread/total markets on both platforms, which share unified resolution logic: final score including overtime, postponement keeps market open, cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Moneyline market contains logical error: 'If Marquette wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Xavier wins...resolves to Yes'. Both outcomes map to identical resolution, creating unresolvable state. Quote: 'If Marquette wins the Xavier at Marquette men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes' and 'If Xavier wins the Xavier at Marquette men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Moneyline market uses standard binary structure: resolves to 'Xavier Musketeers' if Xavier wins, or 'Marquette Golden Eagles' if Marquette wins. Spread and total markets all use consistent logic with postponement provisions and 50-50 cancellation clause. Quote: 'If the Xavier Musketeers win, the market will resolve to Xavier Musketeers. If the Marquette Golden Eagles win, the market will resolve to Marquette Golden Eagles.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.