TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Xavier Musketeers vs. Marquette Golden Eagles
Volume:
$2,625,116
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Xavier Musketeers and Marquette Golden Eagles scheduled for March 11, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), point spread (-3.5 and -4.5), and total points over/under (154.5, 156.5, 157.5).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both Xavier win and Marquette win resolve to Yes, making settlement impossible. Polymarket's moneyline and all spread/total markets across both platforms are internally consistent.Hero Tip:
Avoid the Kalshi moneyline market until the specification is corrected. Trade with confidence on Polymarket's moneyline and all spread/total markets on both platforms, which share unified resolution logic: final score including overtime, postponement keeps market open, cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline market contains logical error: 'If Marquette wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Xavier wins...resolves to Yes'. Both outcomes map to identical resolution, creating unresolvable state. Quote: 'If Marquette wins the Xavier at Marquette men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes' and 'If Xavier wins the Xavier at Marquette men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Moneyline market uses standard binary structure: resolves to 'Xavier Musketeers' if Xavier wins, or 'Marquette Golden Eagles' if Marquette wins. Spread and total markets all use consistent logic with postponement provisions and 50-50 cancellation clause. Quote: 'If the Xavier Musketeers win, the market will resolve to Xavier Musketeers. If the Marquette Golden Eagles win, the market will resolve to Marquette Golden Eagles.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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