TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 11, 2:50 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks worldwide streaming performance for the album X 100PRE during the week of July 03-09. Resolution depends on whether the album accumulates more than 23,473,744 total streams across all platforms during this specific tracking period.
If X 100PRE has above 23,473,744 Worldwide Streams during the July 03 - July 09, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds reflect real-money trader positions and differ from traditional analyst forecasts because they carry financial incentive for accuracy. While entertainment analysts may rely on production schedules, network announcements, and historical patterns, this market prices in live information as it emerges. Traders adjust positions dynamically based on breaking news, social signals, and insider knowledge, often moving faster than published forecasts. The gap between market odds and analyst predictions can reveal where professional consensus diverges from crowd sentiment.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing yes or no outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the implied probability that the event will occur, with traders competing to set bids and asks. As new information surfaces or sentiment shifts, the spread tightens or widens, and the midpoint price moves accordingly. Your position's value updates in real time based on the latest matched trades.
This market resolves around Jul 13, 2026, at which point the outcome will be confirmed against credible public sources. The resolution hinges on whether new episodes stream during the specified week, verified through official announcements, platform releases, or credible entertainment reporting. Once the event window closes and the outcome is verifiable, the market settles and traders receive payouts based on their positions. No further trading occurs after resolution.
Official network or platform announcements about release schedules are the strongest catalyst for this market. Production delays, cast or crew announcements, social media teasers, and industry news can all shift trader conviction. Competitor releases or major entertainment events happening the same week may also influence odds by affecting viewer availability. As the resolution date approaches, each day without confirmation typically increases uncertainty, potentially widening the spread and creating volatility in the final hours.