TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 20, 2:22 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether the album X 100PRE achieves streaming performance above a specific threshold during the June 12-18 tracking week. Worldwide streaming data from all major platforms will be aggregated and measured by Luminate Data, with results published within approximately 48 hours after the week ends.
If X 100PRE has above 26,805,883 Worldwide Streams during the June 12 - June 18, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds reflect aggregated trader conviction in real time, often diverging from traditional analyst forecasts because markets reward accuracy with financial incentive. While entertainment analysts may rely on studio schedules, production timelines, and public statements, this market prices in trader expectations based on all available signals. Comparing the two reveals whether the crowd is more or less optimistic than expert commentary, offering a complementary data point for assessing the likelihood of a release this week.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell shares representing yes or no outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The bid-ask spread reflects the current consensus probability, with prices ranging from 0 to 100 cents per share. As new information emerges or sentiment shifts, traders adjust their positions, and the market price moves to equilibrate supply and demand.
This market resolves around Jun 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution hinges on whether new episodes stream during the specified week, as documented by official announcements or platform release schedules. Once the week closes and evidence is available, the market settles to reflect the actual outcome.
Official announcements from the studio or streaming platform are the most direct catalyst, as confirmed release dates or delays immediately shift trader expectations. Production updates, social media hints from cast or crew, and industry reporting about scheduling changes can also trigger significant price movement. Unexpected technical issues, licensing complications, or competing entertainment releases may influence the probability. Traders monitor entertainment news outlets and official channels closely for any signal affecting the likelihood of a release this week.