TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 2:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the outcome of the first half of a college football game between Wyoming and Central Michigan. Each market corresponds to different point spreads that either team needs to achieve to satisfy the condition.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the first half of the Wyoming vs Central Michigan college football game scheduled for September 19, 2026. For any market where Central Michigan must win by a specified margin, resolution occurs only if Central Michigan leads by more than that margin at halftime. Conversely, markets requiring Wyoming to win by a set margin resolve if Wyoming leads by more than that margin at halftime. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original kickoff time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the halftime score. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets are settled at a fair price, reflecting the uncertainty introduced by the delay. The markets are strictly limited to first-half performance; final game results or second-half scoring have no impact on resolution.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set lines to attract balanced betting, while this market aggregates diverse perspectives. If sportsbook odds significantly differ from the price on Kalshi, it might indicate disagreement about the likely outcome or a potential opportunity for arbitrage. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither guarantees the actual result of the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the Wyoming vs Central Michigan spread. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the event occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price fluctuates, reflecting the collective forecast. The current price indicates what the market, as a whole, believes is the likelihood of Wyoming covering the spread.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Wyoming vs Central Michigan game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing body of college football. Traders holding contracts on the winning side will receive a payout of 100 cents per contract, while those on the losing side will receive nothing. The final spread will be the determining factor for payouts in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game is played. News regarding key player injuries on either Wyoming or Central Michigan would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they impact the playing conditions, could also shift the market. Finally, any major news or analysis released by sports analysts or betting experts could impact trader sentiment and, consequently, the price of contracts on Kalshi.