TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 8, 5:29 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the occurrence of hole-in-one shots during the 2026 Wyndham Championship golf tournament. Outcomes depend on how many such remarkable shots are made throughout the competition. All markets consider holes-in-one made during regular play or playoffs as valid.
The markets resolve based on the total number of hole-in-one shots recorded by any golfer during the 2026 Wyndham Championship, held from August 5 to August 22, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold: one market resolves to Yes if there is at least one hole-in-one, another if there are at least two, and a third if there are at least three. Any hole-in-one made during regulation play or in a playoff counts toward these thresholds. These rules apply uniformly across all markets, with Kalshi explicitly stating it is not affiliated with the PGA, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Compared to traditional sportsbook odds, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more nuanced outlook because they incorporate real-time trader sentiment and can adjust rapidly. Sportsbooks may set broader lines based on historical data and broader player performance, while this market lets participants react to immediate conditions, news, and player form as the event unfolds. The difference can be especially noticeable if a top contender shows unexpected skill or luck on the course.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders collectively set the price through buying and selling contracts that represent the probability of a hole-in-one occurring. The current top chance reflects the aggregated view of all participants, updated constantly as new trades happen. Volume of $48,444 shows how much activity is behind that price. This decentralized pricing mechanism allows for rapid shifts based on in-play developments and trader sentiment.
This market resolves around Aug 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. A successful hole-in-one during the tournament’s official rounds will settle the market in favor of that outcome, while the absence of such a shot will determine the opposite result. The verification process relies on publicly available leaderboards, official tournament announcements, and widely reported results.