TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 9:05 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between two teams in China's League 1. The result will be determined by the final score after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any added stoppage time. Markets will reflect whether either team wins outright or if the game ends in a tie.
The event resolves based on the result of the Wuxi Wugou vs Nantong Zhiyun professional China League 1 soccer match scheduled for September 13, 2026. Three distinct markets correspond to possible outcomes: a win for Wuxi Wugou, a win for Nantong Zhiyun, or a tie after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if its designated condition is met. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price according to the platform's guidelines. The resolution excludes extra time and penalty shootouts, focusing solely on the regulation time result.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows individuals to express their own informed opinions. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. It’s common to see prediction market odds move independently of sportsbook odds, especially as new information becomes available leading up to the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the event’s likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price movements are driven by supply and demand, with increased buying pressure raising prices and increased selling pressure lowering them. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently aggregate information and generate a forecast.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Wuxi Wugou vs Nantong Zhiyun match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the winning outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result and any associated payouts after the resolution process is complete.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 13, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff for either Wuxi Wugou or Nantong Zhiyun could significantly impact trading activity. Unexpected weather conditions or even pre-match analysis from sports commentators could also shift market sentiment. Major upsets in other related matches or broader trends in the league could also play a role, as traders constantly reassess the probabilities based on new information.