TOTAL VOLUME:
$142.4b
24H VOL:
$104,871,197
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2,643,541,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,592,701,755
469,827
Markets across
35,657
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,899
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
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38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Completed Match
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Completed Match - Polymarket
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Vol.
·
Resolves Oct 22, 2026
Time left: 06d:20h:35m
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This market tracks whether Karolina Muchova will win by a margin of at least two games against Diana Shnaider in their Wuhan Tennis Open match. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to Karolina Muchova (-1.5) vs Diana Shnaider (+1.5). The resolution source for this market is the official WTA Tennis scores website: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. Keep an eye on the match itself, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 10:00PM ET, as the outcome will be determined by the final game spread of this fixture.
This market refers to the tennis match between Karolina Muchova and Diana Shnaider in the Wuhan Tennis Open, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Karolina Muchova' if Karolina Muchova advances against Diana Shnaider. This market will resolve to 'Diana Shnaider' if Diana Shnaider advances against Karolina Muchova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Muchova vs Shnaider match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand from traders on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Muchova vs Shnaider match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when the market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 22, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or significant shifts in expert analysis could cause traders to reassess their probabilities. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader tournament upsets, might also impact trading activity. Furthermore, large volume trades by influential participants could create short-term price movements, reflecting a change in sentiment or new information.