TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 11:32 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Chinese Super League game between Wuhan San Zhen FC and Henan FC, scheduled for July 11, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Wuhan San Zhen FC" if Wuhan San Zhen FC score more goals than Henan FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Wuhan San Zhen FC and Henan FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Henan FC" if Henan FC score more goals than Wuhan San Zhen FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Chinese Super League game between Wuhan San Zhen FC and Henan FC, scheduled for July 11, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Wuhan San Zhen FC" if Wuhan San Zhen FC score more goals than Henan FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Wuhan San Zhen FC and Henan FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Henan FC" if Henan FC score more goals than Wuhan San Zhen FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price outcomes differently. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets reflect genuine trader conviction without a built-in house edge. On platforms like Polymarket, prices adjust instantly as new information arrives and traders adjust positions. Sportsbooks update less frequently and may lag market-moving events. Prediction market odds often converge toward true probabilities over time because traders profit by identifying mispricings. For this market, comparing the implied probability to major sportsbook lines can reveal whether one venue undervalues or overvalues either team's second-half chances.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader orders into real-time probabilities. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome share reflects supply and demand; as more traders buy Henan FC to win the second half, the price rises and the implied probability increases. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. Traders earn profit by buying low and selling high, or by correctly predicting the outcome before the market resolves. The continuous pricing mechanism ensures liquidity and allows participants to enter or exit positions at transparent, market-determined rates throughout the trading window.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, once the second half of the Wuhan San Zhen vs. Henan match concludes and the result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which team scores more goals during the second half only; first-half goals do not count. If the second half ends in a draw, the market resolves accordingly. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the final whistle, pending confirmation from official match records or reputable sports data providers. Traders should monitor the event schedule to ensure they settle positions before the deadline.
Several factors can shift odds before this market resolves. Team news—such as injuries to key players, suspensions, or lineup changes—often triggers sharp price moves. Early first-half performance can signal momentum and influence second-half expectations; a team trailing badly may play more aggressively, or a leading team may adopt a defensive posture. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and recent form against the opponent also influence trader sentiment. Betting syndicates and sharp money entering the market can cause rapid repricing. Social media discussion and analyst commentary may sway casual traders. Monitoring pre-match analysis and live match developments helps traders anticipate and react to probability shifts.