TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 11:31 AM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the Chinese Super League game, scheduled for July 11 at 7:00 AM ET.
More markets for the Chinese Super League game, scheduled for July 11 at 7:00 AM ET.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets are driven purely by trader belief—there is no house edge or margin built in. This market aggregates the views of thousands of independent traders with real money at stake, which can sometimes reveal edges that sportsbooks miss. Comparing this market's implied probability to major sportsbook lines can highlight where the two venues disagree on likelihood.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker (AMM) system. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome has a price between 0 and 100 cents, representing the implied probability; as demand shifts, the price adjusts automatically. Larger trades move the price more dramatically, while smaller trades slip less. The spread between bid and ask reflects liquidity depth, so tighter spreads indicate more active trading and easier entry or exit for participants.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be confirmed based on the official final score and any relevant match details. Until that point, traders can continue to buy and sell shares as new information—team news, injury updates, or pre-match analysis—becomes available. Resolution is automatic once the event is decided and verified.
Key catalysts include team lineups and injury announcements, which can significantly shift perceived match strength. Recent form, head-to-head records, and league standings often influence trader positioning. Weather conditions, travel schedules, and any last-minute roster changes may also trigger repricing. Media coverage and expert commentary can amplify sentiment swings. As the match date approaches, late-breaking news—such as a star player's fitness status or tactical shifts—typically drives the most volatile price moves. Monitor official team communications and sports news for the most impactful signals.