TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 11:32 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Wuhan San Zhen FC and Henan FC, scheduled for July 11, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Wuhan San Zhen FC" if Wuhan San Zhen FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Henan FC" if Henan FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between Wuhan San Zhen FC and Henan FC, scheduled for July 11, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Wuhan San Zhen FC" if Wuhan San Zhen FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Henan FC" if Henan FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets are driven purely by trader belief and risk capital. This market may price the first-goal outcome differently than major sportsbooks because traders here have direct financial exposure and no house edge to protect. Comparing the two can reveal where public perception differs from bookmaker consensus, though both sources carry their own biases and information advantages.
On Polymarket, traders set prices through an automated market maker and order-book mechanism, with each outcome represented as a tradable contract. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The top outcome currently reflects market conviction about which scenario traders believe most likely. Prices move in real time as new trades execute, with larger positions moving the odds more dramatically than smaller ones. Liquidity depth determines how much you can trade without significant slippage, so checking the order book before placing large bets is essential for execution quality.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, once the match concludes and the first goal is verified. The outcome is confirmed against credible public reporting of the event result. Traders holding the winning contract receive their payout, while losing positions expire worthless. The resolution hinges on which team actually scores first during regulation play, with the market settling as soon as that fact is established and reported by reliable sources covering the fixture.
Team news—injuries to key forwards, goalkeeper availability, or tactical changes—can shift odds significantly in either direction. Recent form, head-to-head records, and league standings all influence trader positioning. Weather conditions, pitch quality, and referee assignments may also factor into pre-match adjustments. As kickoff nears, late money often flows toward one outcome, creating volatility. Major betting syndicates or sharp traders entering the market can also trigger rapid repricing, so monitoring social media, team announcements, and betting activity helps you stay ahead of sentiment swings.