TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 11:33 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Chinese Super League game between Wuhan San Zhen FC and Henan FC, scheduled for July 11, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Henan FC match originally scheduled for July 11, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Chinese Super League game between Wuhan San Zhen FC and Henan FC, scheduled for July 11, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Henan FC match originally scheduled for July 11, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one price outcomes based on what traders actually believe will happen. For an exact-score market, sportsbooks typically offer limited scoreline options with fixed payouts, whereas prediction markets allow continuous repricing across all possible results. This can create opportunities: if you believe the consensus scoreline probability is mispriced relative to sportsbook offerings, this market lets you trade that view directly against other informed participants.
On Polymarket, traders set prices through an automated market maker that adjusts odds based on order flow and liquidity. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each exact-score outcome trades as a separate contract, so the price of a 2–1 result, for instance, moves independently based on how many shares traders are buying or selling at any given moment. The platform displays these prices as percentages that sum to 100 across all possible scorelines, making it easy to compare relative probabilities. As match day nears and new information emerges, prices shift to reflect updated expectations about which final scores are most likely.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, once the match between Wuhan San Zhen and Henan concludes and the final score is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the exact scoreline at the end of regular time; the winning contract corresponds to whichever exact score actually occurs. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome receive their payout, while incorrect predictions expire worthless. Until that moment, prices remain fluid and reflect ongoing uncertainty about how the match will unfold.
Several catalysts can shift odds in this market before kickoff and during the match itself. Team news—injuries to key players, lineup announcements, or tactical changes—often triggers repricing as traders reassess scoring likelihood. Recent form, head-to-head history, and weather conditions can also influence expectations about which scorelines are most probable. Once the match begins, live action drives continuous repricing: an early goal, a red card, or a shift in momentum will cause traders to rapidly adjust their positions, moving prices toward outcomes that now seem more or less likely. Late-breaking injury reports or lineup surprises in the hours before kickoff typically generate the sharpest pre-match moves.