TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Henan FC
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Henan FC?

Volume:
$97,341

Draw (Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Henan FC)

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 12, 2026

Closed: Sep 12, 11:33 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Draw (Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Henan FC)

View
100%
75%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$6,231
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tie

View
24%
Yes 24¢No 76¢
100¢
N/A
$68
N/A
N/A
$53
Settled
No
kalshi

Henan

View
42%
Yes 42¢No 58¢
100¢
N/A
$1,140
N/A
N/A
$588
Settled
No
polymarket

Henan FC

View
0%
41%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$76,516
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Wuhan Three Towns FC

View
32%
Yes 32¢No 68¢
100¢
N/A
$1,101
N/A
N/A
$451
Settled
No
polymarket

Wuhan San Zhen FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,286
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a Chinese Super League soccer match between Wuhan San Zhen FC (also called Wuhan Three Towns FC) and Henan FC scheduled for July 11, 2026. Three markets are offered across two platforms: Polymarket offers separate binary markets for a Wuhan win, a draw, and a Henan win, while Kalshi offers a single market that resolves Yes if any of the three outcomes occurs.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's omnibus market structure creates a logical tautology where all three possible match outcomes (Wuhan win, Henan win, draw) resolve to Yes, making the market non-predictive and fundamentally unresolvable as a true binary prediction. This contradicts the core function of prediction markets and creates irreconcilable settlement mechanics between platforms.Hero tip: Avoid Kalshi's market as a prediction vehicle - it will resolve Yes for any completed match regardless of outcome. Use Polymarket's three independent binary markets instead to express directional views. Kalshi's market functions only as a hedge against match cancellation, not as a true outcome predictor.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three independent binary markets with mutually exclusive outcomes. Wuhan Win resolves Yes only if Wuhan wins, Draw resolves Yes only if match ends tied, Henan Win resolves Yes only if Henan wins. Cancellation with no makeup: Wuhan Win and Henan Win resolve No, Draw resolves Yes. Resolution source: official CSL statistics within 2 hours post-match, or credible reporting consensus if official stats delayed.
  • Kalshi: Single market with three resolution conditions all mapped to Yes: 'If Wuhan wins...resolves to Yes', 'If Henan wins...resolves to Yes', 'If Tie...resolves to Yes'. This creates a logical impossibility where every completed match outcome triggers a Yes resolution, rendering the market non-predictive.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Chinese Super League game, scheduled for Saturday, July 11, 2026 between Wuhan San Zhen FC and Henan FC.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the final result of the Wuhan Three Towns FC vs Henan professional Chinese Super League soccer game originally scheduled for July 11, 2026, evaluated after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time or penalties). A victory for Wuhan Three Towns FC resolves their market to Yes, while a victory for Henan resolves their market to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the Tie market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled more than two weeks from the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price in accordance with established rules.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like those tracked here differ from traditional sportsbooks in that odds are set by peer-to-peer trading rather than bookmaker algorithms. Traders on these platforms buy and sell shares tied to match outcomes, with prices reflecting collective belief about the result. Sportsbooks, by contrast, set fixed odds and manage risk through margin. Prediction market prices often converge toward true probability over time, especially as the event nears, making them valuable benchmarks for comparing against sportsbook lines and identifying value.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Platform differences in user base, liquidity depth, and fee structures can create temporary price gaps. Polymarket may attract different trader demographics or have higher volume in certain outcome pairs, shifting the marginal price. Kalshi might see concentrated activity from a subset of users with distinct views. These divergences typically narrow as informed traders arbitrage across platforms, but timing, regulatory constraints, and order-book depth can sustain small spreads between the two venues.

Key catalysts include team news such as injuries to star players, lineup announcements, or managerial changes that affect perceived strength. Recent form, head-to-head records, and league standings shifts can reshape trader expectations. Weather conditions on match day and betting-market activity from offshore sportsbooks may also influence sentiment. Late-breaking developments—such as roster updates or venue changes—often trigger sharp repricing. Monitor official team communications and credible sports media for updates that could shift this market materially before kickoff.