TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC
kalshi
polymarket

Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC

Volume:
$71,244

Beijing Guoan FC

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 8, 2026

Closed: Mar 8, 7:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Beijing Guoan FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$23,826
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Beijing Guoan

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$19,298
N/A
N/A
$15,806
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,491
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,388
N/A
N/A
$1,457
Settled
No
polymarket

Wuhan San Zhen FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,097
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Wuhan Three Towns FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,144
N/A
N/A
$2,829
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a Chinese Super League soccer match between Wuhan San Zhen FC (also referred to as Wuhan Three Towns FC) and Beijing Guoan FC scheduled for March 8, 2026. Markets across platforms are betting on the final outcome: a win for either team or a draw, measured at the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regulation play only).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket's draw market contains a unique cancellation clause (resolves YES if game is canceled with no make-up), while win/loss markets on both platforms and Kalshi's markets lack explicit cancellation handling or treat cancellation differently.Hero tip: Monitor CSL-China.com and official league communications for any postponement or cancellation announcements. If the match is canceled without rescheduling, Polymarket draw backers win automatically while win/loss backers lose—a rare asymmetry. Kalshi's cancellation behavior should be confirmed with the platform before March 8, 2026.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Wuhan win (YES/NO), Beijing win (YES/NO), and Draw (YES/NO). All refer to regulation play (90 min + stoppage). Postponed games remain open; canceled games with no make-up resolve NO for win/loss markets but YES for draw market. Primary source: official CSL statistics within 2 hours, or credible reporting consensus. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes' (draw only).
  • Kalshi: Three outcome markets presented as a unified event: Beijing win, Wuhan win, or Tie all resolve YES if their condition is met after 90+stoppage. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided. Implies all three outcomes are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive, but edge case handling is absent.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.