TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC
Volume:
$71,244
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Chinese Super League soccer match between Wuhan San Zhen FC (also referred to as Wuhan Three Towns FC) and Beijing Guoan FC scheduled for March 8, 2026. Markets across platforms are betting on the final outcome: a win for either team or a draw, measured at the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regulation play only).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket's draw market contains a unique cancellation clause (resolves YES if game is canceled with no make-up), while win/loss markets on both platforms and Kalshi's markets lack explicit cancellation handling or treat cancellation differently.Hero Tip:
Monitor CSL-China.com and official league communications for any postponement or cancellation announcements. If the match is canceled without rescheduling, Polymarket draw backers win automatically while win/loss backers lose—a rare asymmetry. Kalshi's cancellation behavior should be confirmed with the platform before March 8, 2026.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Wuhan win (YES/NO), Beijing win (YES/NO), and Draw (YES/NO). All refer to regulation play (90 min + stoppage). Postponed games remain open; canceled games with no make-up resolve NO for win/loss markets but YES for draw market. Primary source: official CSL statistics within 2 hours, or credible reporting consensus. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes' (draw only).
- Kalshi: Three outcome markets presented as a unified event: Beijing win, Wuhan win, or Tie all resolve YES if their condition is met after 90+stoppage. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided. Implies all three outcomes are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive, but edge case handling is absent.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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