TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 5, 4:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the table tennis match between Kirill Gerassimenko and Sora Matsushima in a WTT event, scheduled for June 28 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gerassimenko' if Kirill Gerassimenko wins against Sora Matsushima. This market will resolve to 'Matsushima' if Sora Matsushima wins against Kirill Gerassimenko. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This market refers to the table tennis match between Kirill Gerassimenko and Sora Matsushima in a WTT event, scheduled for June 28 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gerassimenko' if Kirill Gerassimenko wins against Sora Matsushima. This market will resolve to 'Matsushima' if Sora Matsushima wins against Kirill Gerassimenko. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital on outcomes. This market may show different implied probabilities than major sportsbooks, particularly as new information surfaces or as one venue attracts more sophisticated traders. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus is strongest and where outlier views persist.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker system. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each share represents a claim on the outcome, and the price reflects the collective willingness of traders to bet on that result. As new bets flow in, the price adjusts automatically, ensuring the market continuously reprices based on fresh information and shifting conviction among participants.
This market resolves around Jul 5, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome will reflect the official winner of the singles match, confirmed through established tennis reporting channels. Until that point, prices will fluctuate as traders adjust their positions based on player form, injury reports, and other relevant developments in the lead-up to the event.
Several factors could shift prices significantly before resolution. Injury announcements or withdrawal news involving either player would trigger sharp repricing. Recent tournament results, head-to-head records, and surface-specific performance data often influence trader positioning. Betting action from sharp bettors or large position changes can also accelerate price movement. Media coverage highlighting form or fitness concerns may prompt traders to reassess their edge, causing the odds to swing in response to new information.