TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 7, 4:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the table tennis match between Chuqin Wang and Manav Thakkar in a WTT event, scheduled for June 30 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Wang' if Chuqin Wang wins against Manav Thakkar. This market will resolve to 'Thakkar' if Manav Thakkar wins against Chuqin Wang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This market refers to the table tennis match between Chuqin Wang and Manav Thakkar in a WTT event, scheduled for June 30 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Wang' if Chuqin Wang wins against Manav Thakkar. This market will resolve to 'Thakkar' if Manav Thakkar wins against Chuqin Wang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate beliefs from many independent traders competing for profit. This market may show higher or lower implied probabilities than traditional sportsbooks, depending on which venue has better information flow or deeper liquidity. Comparing the two can reveal where smart money sees value or where public perception differs from professional oddsmakers.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker system. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the collective assessment of all active traders, with shares trading between 0 and 100 cents based on perceived probability. Higher prices indicate stronger confidence in that outcome. Liquidity and trading volume directly influence how quickly prices adjust to new information, so active markets tend to price outcomes more efficiently than thin ones.
This market resolves around Jul 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will reflect which player wins the men's singles match. Until that point, traders can continue to buy and sell shares as new information emerges—training updates, player form, head-to-head records, or other factors that might influence the final result. Resolution is final once the match concludes and the winner is officially recorded.
Several catalysts could shift odds before the match takes place. Player injuries, withdrawals, or fitness announcements would trigger sharp repricing. Recent tournament results, ranking changes, or public statements from either competitor could sway trader sentiment. Head-to-head history and playing surface conditions also matter—if the event is played on a surface favoring one player, that information could move the market. Media coverage, betting syndicate activity, and shifts in trading volume can amplify or dampen price swings as the event date approaches.