TOTAL VOLUME:

$114.4b

24H VOL:

$122,580,105

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,317,299,577

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,147,850,640

321,042

Markets across

31,711

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,986

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

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58%

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WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on August 24?
🌟New
Commodities
polymarket
kalshi

What will WTI Crude Oil close above on August 24?

Total volume:
$7,221
Volume 24h:
$0N/A
Liquidity:
$30
0%
Open interest:
$7,205
0%

$91

 - Polymarket

$91 - Polymarket

98%

+0%

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

96%97%98%99%

No volume data

Aug 21

Aug 21

Vol.

$0.0

·

Resolves Aug 24, 2026

Time left: 03d:07h:03m

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on August 24?

98%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 98¢ buys you 102 shares | Odds: 98% Total Payout: $102 | Net Profit: $2 Multiplier: 1.02x | ROI: 2% High Projected APY: 1,067% Low liquidity 3 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result

Description

This group of markets resolves based on whether the closing price of WTI Crude Oil futures exceeds various thresholds on August 24, 2026. The thresholds range from $79.49 to $93.99, with each market having a specific price point to compare against.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All markets use the same underlying price source (Pyth) and resolution logic (closing price comparison against a specific threshold).Primary resolution logic: Pyth

Core resolution logic:

  • The closing price is determined by the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.
  • If the closing price is strictly above the specified threshold, the market resolves to "Yes"; otherwise, it resolves to "No".
  • If the Active Month contract does not trade during the relevant session or there is no valid Pyth Close value, the last valid Pyth price during regular trading hours is used. If no valid Pyth price exists, the official settlement price from the primary exchange is used.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Exact Threshold Match: If the closing price equals the specified threshold, the market resolves to "No".
  • No Trading on Specified Day: If the specified day is not a trading day, the market resolves 50-50 according to Polymarket rules. Kalshi does not specify this scenario but likely follows similar logic.
  • Data Failure: In case of a Pyth data failure, the official settlement price published by the primary exchange will be used.
Timing: Resolution occurs after the close of trading on August 24, 2026, once the Pyth "Close" value for the relevant 1-minute candle is available.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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Polymarket

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on August 24?

Kalshi

Each market assesses whether the daily settlement price for the October 2026 WTI crude oil contract on August 24, 2026, exceeds a specific threshold, resolving to "Yes" if met. Settlement uses the nearest listed contract month, rolling forward two business days before the current contract's last trading day. Prices are rounded to the nearest cent, and missing data is resolved using the most recent available published value. All markets share these consistent secondary rules for determining outcomes based on the specified price thresholds.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the WTI oil price market aggregates real-time data from multiple venues, showing how traders across platforms price the likelihood of WTI crude closing above a specific level on a set date. It displays current probabilities, volume of $6,946 and 24-hour volume of $6,301, plus a consensus view that reflects market sentiment as priced on Polymarket and Kalshi.

Price differences between Polymarket and Kalshi arise from varying user bases, liquidity conditions, and trading activity on each venue. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For example, if one platform has deeper volume or more active traders, its odds may adjust faster to new information. Additionally, listing details such as strike prices or expiration mechanics can influence pricing, making Polymarket’s view of WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on August 24? and Kalshi’s view of Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 79.99 USD/Bbl on Aug 24, 2026? appear distinct even when tracking the same underlying event.

This market resolves around Aug 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Traders will watch closing benchmarks from major exchanges on that day, and the result will be settled based on widely accepted data sources that confirm whether the price threshold was met.

Key signals include weekly U.S. crude inventory reports, OPEC+ production decisions, and energy demand shifts from major economies. Geopolitical tensions or unexpected supply disruptions — such as pipeline outages or refinery problems — can also quickly alter market expectations. As Aug 24, 2026 approaches, any data showing changing supply balances or demand trends will likely drive sharp moves in this market.