TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Wright State Raiders vs. Oakland Golden Grizzlies (W)
Volume:
$29,360
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the women's college basketball game between Wright State Raiders and Oakland Golden Grizzlies scheduled for February 14, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. The markets track which team wins the game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction: both possible outcomes (Oakland win and Wright State win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market outcome predetermined and unresolvable as a true binary. Polymarket uses correct categorical logic.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading Kalshi's version entirely until platform corrects the rule. The market cannot function as written. Polymarket's categorical structure is the only valid resolution framework for this matchup.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Tautological binary structure where both Oakland win and Wright State win resolve to Yes. This creates a logical impossibility—the market outcome is predetermined regardless of actual game result. Key Quote: Both conditional branches lead to Yes resolution.
- Polymarket: Proper categorical resolution: Wright State win resolves to Wright State Raiders, Oakland win resolves to Oakland Golden Grizzlies. Includes postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split) edge cases. Key Quote: Outcome determined by final score including overtime.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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