TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Wright State Raiders and Northern Kentucky Norse scheduled for February 28, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets include moneyline (winner), point spread (Northern Kentucky -2.5), and over/under totals (152.5 and 153.5).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Wright State win and Northern Kentucky win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable. Polymarket markets are internally consistent and clearly defined.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline in its current form. Use Polymarket as the authoritative source for all three market types (moneyline, spread, over/under). Request immediate clarification from Kalshi on whether the moneyline definition is a data entry error or if the market structure differs fundamentally from standard binary sports betting.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Moneyline: Resolves to Wright State Raiders if they win, or Northern Kentucky Norse if they win (mutually exclusive outcomes). Spread: Northern Kentucky -2.5 resolves to Northern Kentucky if they win by 3+ points, otherwise Wright State. Over/Under 152.5 and 153.5: Resolves Over if combined score meets or exceeds threshold, Under otherwise. All markets hold if postponed, resolve 50-50 if canceled with no makeup. Key quote: 'If the Wright State Raiders win, the market will resolve to Wright State Raiders. If the Northern Kentucky Norse win, the market will resolve to Northern Kentucky Norse.'Kalshi:
Moneyline: States 'If Wright St. wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Northern Kentucky wins... then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility where both mutually exclusive outcomes map to the same resolution state. Key quote: 'If Wright St. wins the Wright St. at Northern Kentucky men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Northern Kentucky wins the Wright St. at Northern Kentucky men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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