TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Wrexham AFC vs. Ipswich Town FC
Volume:
$245,567
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the outcome of a professional EFL Championship soccer match between Wrexham AFC and Ipswich Town FC scheduled for February 21, 2026. Markets are offered across Polymarket and Kalshi, each tracking the three possible 90-minute outcomes: Wrexham win, Ipswich win, or draw.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket's draw market has a cancellation resolution (YES) that contradicts the logical structure of three mutually exclusive outcomes, and Kalshi lacks explicit cancellation guidance. Both platforms agree on the core 90-minute outcome logic but diverge on edge-case handling.Hero Tip:
Traders should verify cancellation protocol with each platform before committing capital. If Polymarket's draw-resolves-YES-on-cancellation rule is enforced, it creates a scenario where a canceled game cannot have a consistent resolution across all three markets. Kalshi's silence on cancellation is a gap that should be filled before settlement.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets (Wrexham win YES/NO, Ipswich win YES/NO, Draw YES/NO). Core logic: resolve based on 90-minute + stoppage time outcome only. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no make-up resolves draw to YES and both win markets to NO. Key quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "Yes"' (draw) vs. 'this market will resolve "No"' (win markets).
- Kalshi: Three separate binary markets (Wrexham win, Ipswich win, Tie/Draw). Core logic: resolve YES if the specified outcome occurs after 90 minutes + stoppage time, NO otherwise. No explicit language on postponement or cancellation. Key quote: 'originally scheduled for Feb 21, 2026' with no contingency clause provided.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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