TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$230,557,910
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,202,344,730
501,342
Markets across
13,602
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,822
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Wrexham AFC vs. Hull City AFC
Volume:
$457,725
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the professional EFL Championship soccer match between Wrexham AFC and Hull City AFC scheduled for March 10, 2026. Markets track the outcome of the match within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, including separate binary markets for each team's victory and a draw outcome.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket's draw market contains a unique cancellation clause that resolves YES if the game is canceled with no makeup, while all other markets (both platforms' win markets and Kalshi's omnibus market) implicitly or explicitly resolve NO or void on cancellation. This creates an asymmetric payout structure in tail scenarios.Hero Tip:
The draw market on Polymarket is the only position that benefits from cancellation. If you believe cancellation risk is elevated, consider overweighting the draw market relative to win markets. Conversely, if you are confident the match will be played, the divergence is immaterial. Always verify the match status on EFL.com before settlement.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket (Draw Market): Resolves YES if game ends in a draw within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Uniquely resolves YES if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. Otherwise resolves NO.
- Polymarket (Win Markets): Hull City and Wrexham win markets each resolve YES only if the respective team wins within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If game is canceled with no makeup, resolves NO.
- Kalshi (Omnibus Market): Market resolves YES if Hull wins, Wrexham wins, or a tie occurs within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Cancellation logic is not explicitly defined; assumed to void or resolve NO.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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