TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 9:48 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the darts match between Wessel Nijman and Rob Cross in the World Grand Prix, originally scheduled for September 28 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Wessel Nijman' if Wessel Nijman wins against Rob Cross. This market will resolve to 'Rob Cross' if Rob Cross wins against Wessel Nijman. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official PDC results.
This market refers to the darts match between Wessel Nijman and Rob Cross in the World Grand Prix, originally scheduled for September 28 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Wessel Nijman' if Wessel Nijman wins against Rob Cross. This market will resolve to 'Rob Cross' if Rob Cross wins against Wessel Nijman. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official PDC results.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by professional oddsmakers, while this market’s odds are determined by the collective predictions of individual traders. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when public sentiment strongly favors a particular outcome. Analyzing these differences can provide valuable insights, although it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, not guarantees.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The current price indicates what the market as a whole believes is the chance of a particular player winning the World Grand Prix darts match.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the World Grand Prix darts match between Wessel Nijman and Rob Cross, as declared by the official tournament organizers. The market will determine which player emerged victorious from the match, based on the official results published following the completion of the event.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing strategy for either Wessel Nijman or Rob Cross would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to the event could also shift sentiment. Additionally, major shifts in public opinion, reflected in betting patterns or media coverage, could influence trading activity and move the odds. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning has the potential to move this market.