TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 6:04 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the darts match between Jonny Clayton and Krzysztof Ratajski in the World Grand Prix, originally scheduled for September 28 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jonny Clayton' if Jonny Clayton wins against Krzysztof Ratajski. This market will resolve to 'Krzysztof Ratajski' if Krzysztof Ratajski wins against Jonny Clayton. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official PDC results.
This market refers to the darts match between Jonny Clayton and Krzysztof Ratajski in the World Grand Prix, originally scheduled for September 28 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jonny Clayton' if Jonny Clayton wins against Krzysztof Ratajski. This market will resolve to 'Krzysztof Ratajski' if Krzysztof Ratajski wins against Jonny Clayton. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official PDC results.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when there's strong public sentiment or information that isn't fully factored into sportsbook lines. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information and adjust probabilities based on collective insight, offering a potentially different perspective than traditional betting venues.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes. The price of each share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket, and reflects the aggregated beliefs of all participants trading on the platform. This dynamic pricing allows for a constantly updated assessment of the potential result.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the World Grand Prix match between Jonny Clayton and Krzysztof Ratajski. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result and their holdings in the market. The resolution process ensures a fair and transparent outcome for all participants.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding the players’ form, potential injuries, or changes in their playing style could shift the odds. Significant upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament, or strong performances from either Clayton or Ratajski in other matches, could also impact trader sentiment. Public opinion and analysis from darts experts could also play a role, as traders react to new information and adjust their positions accordingly. Unexpected developments leading up to the match are likely to create volatility in this market.