TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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World Cup: Worst-Placed UEFA Nation
predict

World Cup: Worst-Placed UEFA Nation

Volume:
$4

England

 - Predict

England - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 27, 2026

Closed: Jun 27, 4:01 AM EST

predict

Predict

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
predict

England

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Spain

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Bosnia and Herzegovina

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Austria

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Belgium

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Croatia

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Czechia

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

France

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Germany

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Netherlands

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Norway

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Portugal

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Scotland

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Sweden

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Switzerland

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Türkiye

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 16

Description

This market will resolve in favor of the nation in UEFA (Europe) that is eliminated at the earliest stage (places lowest) in the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed UEFA nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Predict

This market will resolve in favor of the nation in UEFA (Europe) that is eliminated at the earliest stage (places lowest) in the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed UEFA nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard on Predict tracks real-time odds and historical price movements for the World Cup: Worst-Placed UEFA Nation market. It displays current probabilities for each UEFA nation competing in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, showing which team is predicted to finish lowest in their group or tournament stage. The dashboard records $4 in total volume and $0 in 24-hour activity, helping traders monitor liquidity and sentiment shifts. Price history charts reveal how market expectations have evolved as qualifying results, team form, and injury news emerge.

Prediction market odds on Predict often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time crowd sentiment rather than fixed bookmaker margins. Sportsbooks typically adjust odds more slowly and include built-in profit margins, while prediction markets update continuously as new information arrives. For the World Cup: Worst-Placed UEFA Nation, market prices may shift faster than sportsbooks following squad announcements, qualifying upsets, or coaching changes. Comparing Predict odds to major sportsbooks reveals whether traders are pricing in factors bookmakers have not yet fully reflected.

On Predict, World Cup: Worst-Placed UEFA Nation is priced using a continuous order-book model where traders buy and sell shares representing each UEFA nation's probability of finishing worst. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices range from 0 to 100, with higher prices indicating stronger market conviction. Traders profit by correctly predicting which nation will underperform relative to expectations. Liquidity and trading volume on Predict determine how quickly prices respond to new information, such as qualifying results or squad injuries. Real-time price feeds allow participants to enter or exit positions at any time before market resolution.

The World Cup: Worst-Placed UEFA Nation market resolves on Aug 3, 2026, after the 2026 FIFA World Cup concludes. The outcome is determined by identifying which UEFA nation finishes in the lowest final position across all tournament stages. This includes group-stage eliminations, knockout-stage exits, and final standings. The market captures the worst-performing European team relative to the tournament structure and bracket. Resolution occurs once official FIFA results are confirmed and the final tournament standings are published.

Key catalysts include World Cup qualifying results, which reveal which UEFA nations are struggling to secure spots or qualify with weak records. Squad announcements and injury updates to star players can shift expectations for a nation's tournament performance. Friendly match results and recent form heading into the tournament influence trader confidence. Coaching changes or tactical shifts may alter perceived strength. Draw announcements for group assignments create new information about relative difficulty. As the tournament progresses, early match results and group-stage outcomes will rapidly reprrice odds for which nation is most likely to finish worst.