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World Cup: Worst-Placed Non-Host CONCACAF Nation
polymarket
predict

World Cup: Worst-Placed Non-Host CONCACAF Nation

Volume:
$25,513

Panama

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 28, 2026

Closed: Aug 2, 11:59 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Panama

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$7,419
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Panama

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N/A
N/A
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Curaçao

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0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,810
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Curaçao

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N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Haiti

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0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,283
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Haiti

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Other

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N/A
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100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This event group determines which non-host CONCACAF nation finishes worst (lowest placement) in the 2026 FIFA World Cup. The market resolves to a single nation based on tournament elimination stage, with tiebreakers applied sequentially: fewest wins, fewest goals scored, most goals conceded, and alphabetical order. Both platforms offer identical resolution logic and criteria.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Predict platforms present identical resolution criteria, tiebreaker hierarchy, cancellation provisions, and source hierarchy with no material divergence.Primary resolution logic: Official FIFA information; consensus of credible reporting may also be used

Core resolution logic:

  • Identify the non-host CONCACAF nation that is eliminated at the earliest stage (places lowest) in the 2026 FIFA World Cup
  • If multiple nations are eliminated at the same stage, apply tiebreaker 1: nation with fewest total wins through all main tournament rounds
  • If tie persists, apply tiebreaker 2: nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds
  • If tie persists, apply tiebreaker 3: nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds
  • If tie persists, apply tiebreaker 4: nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically
  • If tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 2 2026 11:59 PM ET, or worst-placed nation cannot be determined, resolve to Other

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Tournament Cancellation or Postponement: If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled or postponed after August 2 2026 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to Other
  • Indeterminate Outcome: If the worst-placed CONCACAF nation cannot be determined within the specified timeframe, the market resolves to Other
  • Multi-Stage Tie: Tiebreakers must be applied in strict sequential order; resolution does not proceed to the next tiebreaker until the previous one fails to break the tie
  • Host Nation Exclusion: Only non-host CONCACAF nations are eligible; the 2026 host nations (USA, Canada, Mexico) are excluded from consideration
Timing: Resolution occurs after the conclusion of the 2026 FIFA World Cup main tournament rounds, with a deadline of August 2 2026 11:59 PM ET for determinationOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve in favor of the CONCACAF nation not hosting the tournament that is eliminated at the earliest stage (places lowest) in the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed CONCACAF nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Predict

This market will resolve in favor of the CONCACAF nation not hosting the tournament that is eliminated at the earliest stage (places lowest) in the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed CONCACAF nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates real-time odds and trading activity across Polymarket and Predict for the outcome of which non-host CONCACAF nation will finish lowest in the 2026 FIFA World Cup standings. It tracks consensus probability shifts, cross-platform volume, and the leading candidate across both venues. By monitoring both markets simultaneously, traders and analysts gain a unified view of how prediction markets are pricing this regional performance outcome, helping identify where smart money is concentrating and how conviction levels evolve as the tournament approaches.

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Predict operate independently from traditional sportsbooks and often reflect different liquidity pools, user bases, and risk models. Sportsbooks typically employ professional oddsmakers and manage liability across many markets, while prediction markets aggregate decentralized trader beliefs. For this CONCACAF World Cup outcome, prediction market prices may diverge from sportsbook lines due to different information sets, trading volumes, and participant sophistication. Comparing the two can reveal arbitrage opportunities or consensus gaps on which nation faces the steepest odds of finishing last.

Key catalysts include CONCACAF qualifying results, player injuries or transfers affecting squad depth, coaching changes, and head-to-head friendlies that signal team form. Major injuries to star players, surprise managerial appointments, or unexpected qualifying performances can shift perceptions of which nation is most vulnerable. As the tournament draws closer, official squad announcements and pre-World Cup warm-up matches provide concrete data. Late-stage injuries during the tournament itself, tactical surprises, and group-stage results will drive final repricing before the market locks at kickoff of the first CONCACAF nation match.