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World Cup: Worst-Placed AFC Nation
polymarket

World Cup: Worst-Placed AFC Nation

Volume:
$10,263

Iraq

 - Polymarket

Iraq - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 28, 2026

Closed: Aug 2, 11:59 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Iraq

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$917
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Qatar

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,846
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

South Korea

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,361
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Saudi Arabia

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,321
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Uzbekistan

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,174
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Australia

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,049
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Japan

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$928
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Iran

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$866
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Jordan

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$801
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Other

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Description

This market will resolve in favor of the nation in AFC (Asia) that is eliminated at the earliest stage (places lowest) in the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed AFC nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Polymarket

This market will resolve in favor of the nation in AFC (Asia) that is eliminated at the earliest stage (places lowest) in the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed AFC nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect real-time trader consensus and differ from traditional sportsbook odds because they are set by supply and demand rather than oddsmakers. Sportsbooks typically build in margins and may lag behind breaking news, while prediction markets often price in information faster as participants trade on new developments. For the World Cup: Worst-Placed Asian Nation, comparing Polymarket probabilities to major sportsbook lines can reveal where the crowd expects value. Prediction markets tend to be more efficient for niche outcomes like this, since they aggregate dispersed knowledge from many independent traders rather than relying on a single operator's model.

The World Cup: Worst-Placed Asian Nation market resolves on Aug 3, 2026, after the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage concludes. The outcome is determined by which Asian nation finishes with the lowest point total in their respective group. Teams are ranked by points earned (wins, draws, losses), and goal differential and goals scored serve as tiebreakers if needed. The market will settle once official FIFA records confirm final group standings and the worst-placed Asian team is identified. Resolution occurs automatically once the tournament data is verified and the winning outcome is confirmed.

Several catalysts could shift odds significantly before Aug 3, 2026. Qualifying tournament results and playoff outcomes will determine which Asian nations participate and their seeding. Squad announcements, managerial changes, and injury updates to key players will influence perceived team strength. The 2026 World Cup group draw will be critical—placement alongside strong European or South American teams could weaken an Asian nation's chances of avoiding last place. Pre-tournament friendlies and warm-up matches will provide form signals. During the group stage itself, early match results will dramatically reprrice odds as actual performance data emerges, potentially eliminating or confirming certain nations as contenders for worst placement.