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World Cup: Uzbekistan Stage of Elimination
kalshi
polymarket

World Cup: Uzbekistan Stage of Elimination

Volume:
$37,108

Group Stage

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 28, 2026

Closed: Jun 28, 11:10 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Group Stage

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$13,380
N/A
N/A
$6,250
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Group Stage

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$9,971
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Champion

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,530
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Outright Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$149
N/A
N/A
$149
Settled
No
kalshi

Round of 32

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,937
N/A
N/A
$1,545
Settled
No
polymarket

Round of 32

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,808
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Runner-Up

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,932
N/A
N/A
$1,932
Settled
No
polymarket

Final

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$681
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Semifinals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,205
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Semifinals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$170
N/A
N/A
$165
Settled
No
kalshi

Round of 16

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,157
N/A
N/A
$1,109
Settled
No
polymarket

Round of 16

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,150
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Quarterfinals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$896
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Quarterfinals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$142
N/A
N/A
$116
Settled
No
polymarket

Other

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

This event group tracks Uzbekistan's progression and elimination stage in the 2026 FIFA Men's World Cup. Markets resolve based on the specific round at which Uzbekistan exits the tournament, or if they win the championship outright.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms employ identical elimination-stage resolution logic with comprehensive coverage of all possible tournament outcomes for Uzbekistan, unified under official FIFA sources.Primary resolution logic: Official FIFA information (fifa.com); credible reporting consensus used as secondary source if official data unavailable.

Core resolution logic:

  • Uzbekistan eliminated in Group Stage resolves to Yes/that stage
  • Uzbekistan eliminated in Round of 32 resolves to Yes/that stage
  • Uzbekistan eliminated in Round of 16 resolves to Yes/that stage
  • Uzbekistan eliminated in Quarterfinals resolves to Yes/that stage
  • Uzbekistan eliminated in Semifinals resolves to Yes/that stage
  • Uzbekistan eliminated in Final resolves to Yes/that stage
  • Uzbekistan wins the Final (becomes Champion) resolves to Yes/Champion
  • All outcomes are mutually exclusive; exactly one will occur

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Tournament Cancellation or Postponement: If 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full or postponed after August 2, 2026 11:59 PM ET, market resolves to Other (Polymarket) or No resolution (Kalshi context). Resolution defaults to furthest completed round reached by Uzbekistan based on best available official information.
  • Disqualification or Withdrawal: If Uzbekistan is disqualified, withdraws, or is removed from the tournament, resolution is determined by the furthest completed round reached before such action, per Polymarket specification.
  • Incomplete Tournament: If tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, resolution uses the furthest completed round reached by Uzbekistan based on best available official information.
Timing: Resolution occurs upon official completion of the stage at which Uzbekistan is eliminated or upon their championship victory. Final resolution deadline is August 2, 2026 11:59 PM ET; any postponement beyond this date triggers alternative resolution logic.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Uzbekistan is eliminated. If Uzbekistan wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If Uzbekistan is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Uzbekistan based on the best available official information. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

Uzbekistan's stage of elimination during the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup is determined by the round in which the team loses or is eliminated. If a team withdraws, forfeits, or is disqualified at any point, the stage of elimination is determined by the farthest stage reached prior to such action. For example, if a team withdraws after winning their Round of 32 match, the Round of 16 outcome resolves Yes since that would be the next stage where elimination would have occurred. If a team loses in the Semifinals, the Semifinals outcome resolves Yes regardless of whether they win the third-place match. The Outright Winner outcome resolves Yes only if Uzbekistan wins the Final.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi often reflect sharper, more granular probabilities than traditional sportsbooks because they aggregate decentralized trader conviction in real time. Sportsbooks typically offer fixed odds on broader outcomes, whereas these markets allow continuous repricing as new information emerges—team injuries, qualifying results, or tactical shifts. For Uzbekistan's elimination stage, prediction markets may price in nuanced scenarios (Round of 32 vs. Round of 16) that sportsbooks bundle together, potentially offering different risk-reward profiles for informed bettors.

Key catalysts include Uzbekistan's qualifying campaign performance, roster changes and player injuries, draw results revealing group composition and opponent strength, and pre-tournament friendlies signaling team form. During the tournament itself, early match results, goal differential, and head-to-head outcomes directly impact elimination odds. Geopolitical or regulatory developments affecting team participation, coaching changes, or surprise player transfers could also shift market sentiment. Traders monitor injury reports, FIFA rankings updates, and expert analysis to anticipate repricing on Polymarket and Kalshi.