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402,751

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World Cup: South Korea Stage of Elimination
kalshi
polymarket

World Cup: South Korea Stage of Elimination

Volume:
$361,203

Group Stage

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 28, 2026

Closed: Jun 28, 11:10 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Group Stage

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$94,782
N/A
N/A
$48,990
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Group Stage

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$75,737
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Round of 32

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$63,556
N/A
N/A
$41,317
Settled
No
polymarket

Round of 32

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$34,750
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Round of 16

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$34,422
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Round of 16

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,141
N/A
N/A
$8,362
Settled
No
polymarket

Quarterfinals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,843
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Quarterfinals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,663
N/A
N/A
$4,257
Settled
No
polymarket

Semifinals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,567
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Semifinals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,011
N/A
N/A
$932
Settled
No
polymarket

Final

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,065
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Runner-Up

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,000
N/A
N/A
$5,950
Settled
No
polymarket

Champion

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,839
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Outright Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$826
N/A
N/A
$776
Settled
No
polymarket

Other

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

This event group tracks the stage at which South Korea is eliminated from the 2026 FIFA Men's World Cup, or whether they win the tournament. Both platforms offer markets on specific elimination stages (Group Stage, Round of 32, Round of 16, Quarterfinals, Semifinals, Final) as well as championship victory, with resolution tied to official FIFA tournament outcomes.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms employ identical resolution logic: markets resolve based on the official stage of South Korea's elimination or tournament victory, with consistent handling of edge cases including disqualification, withdrawal, and tournament incompletion.Primary resolution logic: Official FIFA sources (fifa.com); credible consensus reporting as secondary source

Core resolution logic:

  • Market resolves Yes/affirmative if South Korea is eliminated in the specified stage (Group Stage, Round of 32, Round of 16, Quarterfinals, Semifinals, or Final)
  • Market resolves Yes/affirmative if South Korea wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup (championship market)
  • If South Korea is disqualified, withdraws, or is removed from the tournament, resolution is based on the furthest completed round reached
  • If the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, resolution follows the best available official information on the furthest completed round
  • If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full or postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, markets resolve to Other/N/A

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Tournament Cancellation: If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full or postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to Other
  • Disqualification or Withdrawal: If South Korea is disqualified, withdraws, or is removed from the tournament, resolution is based on the furthest completed round reached by South Korea
  • Incomplete Tournament: If the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, resolution uses the best available official information on the furthest completed round
  • Championship Victory: If South Korea wins the Final and becomes champion, championship-related markets resolve affirmatively; elimination markets resolve No
Timing: Resolution occurs upon official confirmation of South Korea's elimination stage or tournament victory by FIFA, or upon official determination of tournament cancellation/postponement status as of August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ETOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which South Korea is eliminated. If South Korea wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If South Korea is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by South Korea based on the best available official information. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

Each market tracks Korea Republic's elimination at a specific stage of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, with one market also covering an outright tournament victory. A team's stage of elimination is determined by the farthest stage they reached prior to any withdrawal, forfeit, or disqualification. For example, if a team withdraws after winning a Round of 32 match, the Round of 16 market resolves to Yes, representing the next stage where they would have competed. A team that loses in the Semifinals resolves the Semifinals market to Yes regardless of third-place match results. The Group Stage market resolves to Yes if the team fails to advance from group play. The Round of 32, Round of 16, Quarterfinals, and Semifinals markets each resolve to Yes if the team is eliminated at those respective stages. The Runner-Up market resolves to Yes if Korea Republic loses the Final. The Outright Winner market resolves to Yes only if Korea Republic wins the Final.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates real-time odds and trading activity across Polymarket and Kalshi for the same underlying question: which stage South Korea will be eliminated from the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup. By tracking both platforms simultaneously, you gain a consensus view of market conviction around outcomes ranging from Round of 32 through the Final. The dashboard displays current implied probabilities, 24-hour volume trends, and cross-platform price spreads, enabling traders and analysts to spot arbitrage opportunities and monitor how professional and retail participants are positioning around South Korea's tournament trajectory.

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi typically reflect real-time crowd sentiment and are updated continuously as new information emerges, whereas traditional sportsbooks adjust odds less frequently and incorporate built-in margins. For World Cup elimination stage events, prediction markets often price in granular outcome specificity—such as exact elimination round—that sportsbooks may not offer. Prediction market odds tend to be sharper and more efficient in the days leading up to tournament play, especially as team lineups, injuries, and bracket positioning become clearer. Direct numerical comparison requires checking both venues simultaneously, as this event spans multiple platforms.

Key catalysts include South Korea's qualifying performance and final seeding in the 2026 draw, which determines group composition and bracket difficulty. Squad announcements, injuries to star players, and coaching changes will shift perceived elimination risk. Pre-tournament friendlies and form heading into June 2026 influence market pricing. During the tournament itself, group-stage results, goal differential, and head-to-head outcomes directly impact advancement odds. Unexpected upsets or dominant performances by South Korea or rival nations will trigger rapid repricing. Media narratives around team chemistry and tactical adjustments also influence trader sentiment and order flow on both Polymarket and Kalshi.