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24H VOL:

$130,522,377

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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World Cup: Scotland Stage of Elimination
polymarket
kalshi

World Cup: Scotland Stage of Elimination

Volume:
$237,849

Group Stage

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 28, 2026

Closed: Jun 28, 11:10 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Group Stage

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$85,865
N/A
N/A
$41,587
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Group Stage

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$77,870
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Round of 32

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$31,454
N/A
N/A
$16,681
Settled
No
polymarket

Round of 32

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,165
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Round of 16

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,188
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Round of 16

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,800
N/A
N/A
$5,475
Settled
No
polymarket

Quarterfinals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,559
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Quarterfinals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,164
N/A
N/A
$1,903
Settled
No
polymarket

Final

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,812
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Runner-Up

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,074
N/A
N/A
$1,074
Settled
No
polymarket

Champion

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,678
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Outright Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,358
N/A
N/A
$1,358
Settled
No
polymarket

Semifinals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,324
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Semifinals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$539
N/A
N/A
$539
Settled
No
polymarket

Other

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

This event group tracks the stage at which Scotland is eliminated from the 2026 FIFA Men's World Cup. Both platforms offer markets covering all possible elimination stages (Group Stage through Final) plus Scotland winning the tournament, with consistent resolution tied to official FIFA tournament progression.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms use identical elimination-stage logic with consistent edge case handling, official FIFA sourcing, and mutual recognition of all tournament outcomes including championship victory.Primary resolution logic: Official FIFA information (fifa.com) with credible reporting consensus as secondary source

Core resolution logic:

  • Market resolves Yes/True if Scotland is eliminated in Group Stage
  • Market resolves Yes/True if Scotland is eliminated in Round of 32
  • Market resolves Yes/True if Scotland is eliminated in Round of 16
  • Market resolves Yes/True if Scotland is eliminated in Quarterfinals
  • Market resolves Yes/True if Scotland is eliminated in Semifinals
  • Market resolves Yes/True if Scotland is eliminated in Final
  • Market resolves Yes/True (or Champion/Winner) if Scotland wins the tournament
  • If Scotland is disqualified, withdraws, or removed, resolution follows furthest completed round reached

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Tournament Cancellation: If 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full or postponed after August 2, 2026 11:59 PM ET, Polymarket resolves to Other; Kalshi resolution criteria do not explicitly address this scenario but would likely follow official FIFA guidance
  • Disqualification or Withdrawal: If Scotland is disqualified, withdraws, or is removed from tournament, resolution is based on the furthest completed round reached by Scotland per official FIFA information
  • Partial Tournament Completion: If tournament is not finished for any reason, resolution follows the best available official information regarding Scotland's furthest completed round
Timing: Resolution occurs upon completion of the stage at which Scotland is eliminated or upon tournament conclusion if Scotland wins, with final settlement after official FIFA confirmation of tournament resultsOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Scotland is eliminated. If Scotland wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If Scotland is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Scotland based on the best available official information. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

These markets collectively track Scotland's progression through the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup tournament structure. A team's stage of elimination is determined by the farthest stage reached prior to any loss, withdrawal, forfeit, or disqualification. If a team loses in the Semifinals, the Semifinals market resolves to Yes regardless of third-place match results. If a team withdraws or is disqualified after advancing past a stage, the next stage they would have faced is considered their elimination point. For example, withdrawal after winning a Round of 32 match means the Round of 16 market resolves to Yes. The Outright Winner market resolves to Yes only if Scotland wins the Final, while the Runner-Up market resolves to Yes if Scotland loses in the Final.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates real-time odds and trading activity across Polymarket and Kalshi for the same core question: whether Scotland will be eliminated at a specific stage of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup. You can monitor live chance percentages, trading volume, and consensus probability across both platforms simultaneously. The multi-platform view lets you spot pricing divergence, track liquidity trends, and see how professional traders and retail participants are positioning on Scotland's tournament longevity. This cross-exchange perspective reveals market conviction and helps identify arbitrage or consensus shifts as the tournament approaches.

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi typically reflect real-time crowd sentiment and are updated continuously by active traders, whereas traditional sportsbooks adjust odds less frequently and embed margin. Prediction market odds for Scotland's elimination stage often diverge from sportsbook lines because they aggregate decentralized participant views rather than a single operator's model. Market-based pricing can be more efficient during high-volume periods but may show wider spreads during low liquidity. Comparing both sources helps identify whether consensus leans bullish or bearish on Scotland's depth in the tournament relative to professional oddsmakers.

Key catalysts include Scotland's qualifying performance, injury updates to star players, coaching changes, and draws for group stage opponents. Pre-tournament friendlies and warm-up matches will signal team form and tactical readiness. Major roster announcements, managerial decisions, and comparative strength assessments of other Group Stage teams will shift market odds. As the tournament begins, early match results—Scotland's opening fixtures in particular—will trigger sharp repricing. Media narratives around team morale, tactical adjustments, and head-to-head matchups against rivals will continuously influence trader positioning through the group stage and into knockout rounds.