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FIFA World Cup Round of 16 Qualifiers
kalshi

FIFA World Cup Round of 16 Qualifiers

Volume:
$6,727,004

USA

 - Kalshi

USA - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 4, 2026

Closed: Jul 1, 10:19 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

USA

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$576,752
N/A
N/A
$355,894
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Mexico

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$411,330
N/A
N/A
$206,664
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Morocco

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$338,224
N/A
N/A
$139,311
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Argentina

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$247,641
N/A
N/A
$103,708
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Egypt

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$244,051
N/A
N/A
$134,293
Settled
Yes
kalshi

France

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$240,198
N/A
N/A
$155,414
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Colombia

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$227,949
N/A
N/A
$115,749
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Canada

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$185,806
N/A
N/A
$93,549
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Portugal

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$160,306
N/A
N/A
$70,618
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Brazil

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$155,189
N/A
N/A
$107,528
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Belgium

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$134,139
N/A
N/A
$59,376
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Norway

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$127,871
N/A
N/A
$78,477
Settled
Yes
kalshi

England

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$111,770
N/A
N/A
$69,060
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Switzerland

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$100,778
N/A
N/A
$47,420
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Paraguay

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$95,816
N/A
N/A
$42,834
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Spain

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$58,469
N/A
N/A
$44,037
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Cape Verde

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$304,874
N/A
N/A
$147,733
Settled
No
kalshi

Japan

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$243,281
N/A
N/A
$134,709
Settled
No
kalshi

Korea Republic

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$205,556
N/A
N/A
$71,478
Settled
No
kalshi

Ivory Coast

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$193,039
N/A
N/A
$81,580
Settled
No
kalshi

Netherlands

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$191,941
N/A
N/A
$122,784
Settled
No
kalshi

Ecuador

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$174,643
N/A
N/A
$90,150
Settled
No
kalshi

Senegal

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$163,950
N/A
N/A
$91,169
Settled
No
kalshi

Ghana

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$151,280
N/A
N/A
$89,137
Settled
No
kalshi

Germany

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$144,836
N/A
N/A
$68,670
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 64

Intro

This market on Kalshi tracks whether Colombia will advance to the Round of 16 stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup, with Colombia priced at 99.0% to qualify and Ghana at 1.0%. Resolution is determined by official FIFA records confirming qualification status. The betting period closes on July 19, 2026, when the group stage concludes and Round of 16 participants are determined.

Kalshi

If Mexico is one of the teams to qualify for the Round of 16 in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes. If Korea Republic is one of the teams to qualify for the Round of 16 in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes. If South Africa is one of the teams to qualify for the Round of 16 in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes. If Czechia is one of the teams to qualify for the Round of 16 in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes. If Switzerland is one of the teams to qualify for the Round of 16 in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes. If Canada is one of the teams to qualify for the Round of 16 in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes. If Qatar is one of the teams to qualify for the Round of 16 in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes. If Bosnia and Herzegovina is one of the teams to qualify for the Round of 16 in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes. If Brazil is one of the teams to qualify for the Round of 16 in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes. If Morocco is one of the teams to qualify for the Round of 16 in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes. If Scotland is one of the teams to qualify for the Round of 16 in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes. If Haiti is one of the teams to qualify for the Round of 16 in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes. If USA is one of the teams to qualify for the Round of 16 in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes. If Turkiye is one of the teams to qualify for the Round of 16 in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes. If Paraguay is one of the teams to qualify for the Round of 16 in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes. If Australia is one of the teams to qualify for the Round of 16 in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes. If Germany is one of the teams to qualify for the Round of 16 in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ecuador is one of the teams to qualify for the Round of 16 in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ivory Coast is one of the teams to qualify for the Round of 16 in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes. If Curacao is one of the teams to qualify for the Round of 16 in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes. If Netherlands is one of the teams to qualify for the Round of 16 in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes. If Japan is one of the teams to qualify for the Round of 16 in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tunisia is one of the teams to qualify for the Round of 16 in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sweden is one of the teams to qualify for the Round of 16 in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes. If Belgium is one of the teams to qualify for the Round of 16 in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes. If Egypt is one of the teams to qualify for the Round of 16 in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes. If IR Iran is one of the teams to qualify for the Round of 16 in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes. If New Zealand is one of the teams to qualify for the Round of 16 in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes. If Spain is one of the teams to qualify for the Round of 16 in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes. If Uruguay is one of the teams to qualify for the Round of 16 in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes. If Saudi Arabia is one of the teams to qualify for the Round of 16 in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes. If Cape Verde is one of the teams to qualify for the Round of 16 in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes. If France is one of the teams to qualify for the Round of 16 in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes. If Norway is one of the teams to qualify for the Round of 16 in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes. If Senegal is one of the teams to qualify for the Round of 16 in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes. If Iraq is one of the teams to qualify for the Round of 16 in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes. If Argentina is one of the teams to qualify for the Round of 16 in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes. If Austria is one of the teams to qualify for the Round of 16 in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes. If Algeria is one of the teams to qualify for the Round of 16 in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jordan is one of the teams to qualify for the Round of 16 in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes. If Portugal is one of the teams to qualify for the Round of 16 in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes. If Colombia is one of the teams to qualify for the Round of 16 in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes. If Uzbekistan is one of the teams to qualify for the Round of 16 in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes. If Congo DR is one of the teams to qualify for the Round of 16 in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes. If England is one of the teams to qualify for the Round of 16 in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes. If Croatia is one of the teams to qualify for the Round of 16 in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ghana is one of the teams to qualify for the Round of 16 in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes. If Panama is one of the teams to qualify for the Round of 16 in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect decentralized trader behavior rather than bookmaker risk management. Sportsbooks adjust odds to balance liability and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate the collective beliefs of thousands of independent participants. For World Cup Round of 16 qualification, prediction markets may price underdog teams higher or favorites lower than sportsbooks, depending on whether informed traders spot value. Comparing Kalshi odds to major sportsbooks reveals whether the market is pricing in recent team form, injury updates, or geopolitical factors that bookmakers have not yet fully reflected.

The World Cup Round of 16 Qualifiers market resolves on Jul 19, 2026, after all qualifying matches have been completed and final group standings are confirmed. Resolution is determined by official FIFA records of which teams have secured advancement to the Round of 16 knockout stage. Each outcome contract resolves to 100 if the specified team qualifies or to 0 if eliminated. The market captures the entire qualifying campaign, from early matches through final group-stage contests, so traders can enter or exit positions at any point before the deadline.

World Cup Round of 16 Qualifiers odds on Kalshi respond to key qualifying-stage events: match results that alter group standings, injury announcements affecting star players, coaching changes, and head-to-head tiebreaker scenarios. Goal differential and head-to-head records become critical as teams approach the final matchdays, and traders adjust prices based on remaining fixtures and strength of schedule. Unexpected upsets, red cards, or suspensions can shift qualification probabilities overnight. Political or weather disruptions, visa issues, or team morale developments also influence market pricing. As qualifying concludes, the market converges toward certainty, with prices reflecting confirmed advancement or elimination.