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World Cup: Mexico Stage of Elimination
polymarket

World Cup: Mexico Stage of Elimination

Volume:
$411,587

Round of 16

 - Polymarket

Round of 16 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 6, 2026

Closed: Jul 19, 3:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Round of 16

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$140,558
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Semifinals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$81,459
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Quarterfinals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$59,083
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Final

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$44,002
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Round of 32

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$43,843
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Champion

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$38,611
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Group Stage

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,030
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Other

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 8

Description

This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Mexico is eliminated. If Mexico wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If Mexico is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Mexico based on the best available official information. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Mexico is eliminated. If Mexico wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If Mexico is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Mexico based on the best available official information. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Polymarket often diverge from traditional sportsbook odds because they reflect real-time trader consensus rather than fixed lines set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks adjust odds to balance liability and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets respond instantly to new information—injuries, lineup changes, or betting flow. For Mexico's World Cup elimination stage, the Polymarket market may price in nuanced scenarios that sportsbooks bundle into broader tournament props. Comparing the two reveals whether the crowd-sourced prediction market view is more or less bullish on Mexico's tournament longevity than professional bookmakers.

The World Cup: Mexico Stage of Elimination market resolves on Jul 19, 2026, after the tournament concludes and Mexico's final stage of play is confirmed. Resolution depends on the official FIFA World Cup records showing exactly when Mexico is eliminated from the competition. Each outcome—group stage, Round of 16, Quarterfinals, Semifinals, or Finals—corresponds to a specific elimination point. Once Mexico is knocked out or the tournament ends, the market settles to the outcome that matches the actual tournament result. Traders should monitor official FIFA announcements and match schedules as the event date approaches.

Key catalysts for price movement include Mexico's qualifying performance and seeding in the 2026 World Cup draw, which affects group composition and knockout matchups. Squad announcements, injuries to star players like Hirving Lozano or Raúl Jiménez, and coaching changes shift perceived tournament strength. Friendly match results and regional tournament performances (Copa América, Gold Cup) provide form signals. As the World Cup approaches, each group-stage result will reshape elimination probabilities—a strong start extends Mexico's expected run, while early losses trigger sharp repricing toward earlier elimination stages. Media narratives and betting flow also influence trader sentiment throughout the tournament window.